powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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2.73” and still raining hard. September monthly rainfall will end up not that bad after only 1/3rd if an inch until last night, lol.
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It has been pouring all night. Stowe and Waterbury PWS are all showing storm total of 1.5-2.0” as of 4:25am. MVL has put up back to back hours of 0.48”, so 0.96” in last two hours. Pretty soaking rain. Nearing 2” with the real heavy stuff down near ALB about to rotate up here...we’ll see what happens.
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There is a lot of moisture building down south in the Carolina’s and mid-Atlantic. Looks like it’s going negative tilt like Coastalwx mentioned... rotating bands a bit westward as they move north down near ALB and eastern PA.
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1.81” now. Berkshire’s getting some water.
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Man, upper CT River Valley getting smoked. Littleton, Dalton, NH areas with several stations over 1.0” already in that minor “preview” of what comes later. They are showing some efficient rain rates... if you can get 1+ in the bucket before the main event, could be decent totals in that CT River Valley watershed.
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Cold air seeping in, which I find odd given the frontal position. 77F this afternoon to 55F now.
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Pretty solid slug training over itself along I-91 along central/northern VT/NH line.
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HRRR slowly shifting the rain axis back east. Might help DIT with his lawn and Phin with his well on that axis.
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Yeah it’s done. Can see through the forest now in the backyard. Just yellows and orange but the deep red is gone and many leaves down. The entire process took about a week in total from change to peak to leaf drop.
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Water from the sky now.
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All moving N to NE... looks like it’ll miss, right? lol
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Quick half inch in an hour at AQW in the Berkshires. Packing some decent rain rates, wouldn’t take long to get a soaking rain.
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We 18z NAM. Pretty good consensus up this way.
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Yeah Bob is crushing it at that amount... 0.41" here for the month.
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I thought they dried up months ago and CT was a smoldering waste land by now?
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The leaves just didn’t stick as well to the warm pavement. Have to take the measurement on grassy surfaces only. People told me the warm ground would not affect my leaf fall though.
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In reality, that translates to a widespread 5-8", and then Friday and Monday are 2-4" river eastward during winter.
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Ha maybe? It’s just the model literally gives you a deterministic outcome. It’s not like making guesses based on H5 or something.
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How does a literal deterministic model run “translate” to something different than shown? It literally shows you the exact output... but you then “translate” into a different outcome? I’m confused. Is that like when a snow map shows 8” and you “translate” to widespread 12+?
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That is one helluva gradient as Tamarack said... just over a foot in SE CT to 125”+ in S/C NH. Wow, that’s just a constant similar storm track over and over again.
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Ha right on the first few snows. Now Phin should get snow in those similar upslope events... but I think this first winter more folks will be curious of his area as it’s new to the forum. There will be a novelty factor. But once they figure out that zone just has flakes in the air all the time too, they’ll tune it out fast .
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Oh they are only one storm away... though you’ll probably get more lee way this winter as it’s the first winter and folks will be curious... but after that it won’t be a term of endearment lol. ”No one cares about the 6 humans living in Randolph...”
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Ha that’s better. The R was a tougher one to work with... ripper is better than raking.
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