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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. I could see if it was only Union or your hill... isolated. But it seems like most of those two counties between you and Ginxy. My dad sent a shot from their summer golf course in Thompson, CT and it looks like 4-6" on the course. No idea elevation, but seeing enough reports from those two counties that it's odd.
  2. Apologize if this has been discussed.... but how is there no BOX headlines in NE CT from Ginxy to Kev? Or in a few other places around there? Seeing photos of like 4-8" of heavy wet snow in so many spots... not even a SPS.
  3. Yeah 5F lower could've gotten yesterday's precip to fall as all snow, plus today. Would've been a monster snowstorm for pretty much all if yesterday morning we had 0C at 850mb.
  4. I won't lie, I'm very jealous you are in Florida. Fun event back here but not as much as over that way into NH/ME mtns (or apparently Rhode Island). I'd go beach right now . We've been stuck around like 3" for a while at 1,500ft back this way... snowing steadily but just at like the same intensity as the melting from the wet ground or melting from above. Like watching it snow for the last 3 hours to maintain the depth. Above 2,000ft in this area is where it really ramps up to 6"+ as we didn't have the precip rates. MVL ASOS has been snowing between 0.5 mile and 1.0 mile but at 34F I bet it's not more than a sloppy coating at my house. Radar showing a decent band approaching so maybe we can start to outpace the melt again at 1,500ft.
  5. Is that the temperature of the ice in your margarita on a Florida beach? We've risen a few tenths above freezing now too at 1,500ft. Solar gain is still happening despite the clouds and snow. No real CAA from anywhere, probably dips a bit with sundown in like 7 hours.
  6. I remember an event like a decade ago I worked at Topnotch Resort for a second job, one night they were pouring rain at 1,000ft but 3 miles away at 750ft there was 4" and dumping snow. The only thing I could think of is the wind flow was off a ridge up at like 1800ft behind the hotel where as the village was in a straight shot up valley. Like a small eddy of slightly warmer air from a 700 foot terrain drop had it raining at a higher elevation than plowable snow a few miles away. In this event... we are up to 6-7" above 3,000ft.
  7. You get a downslope flow off even a minor hill? Some sort of compressional warming that is very slight but enough to alter a half a degree Celsius or something?
  8. Looks like a crush job for you guys.
  9. Good to have one last snowy day.
  10. Don't even need to look at anything but wind streamlines, they haven't changed in 4 days.... throw all QPF maps out lol. Gonna get crushed. Sort of like what NW flow does up here with the right synoptic set up. QPF is definitely the least accurate part of it.
  11. Told ya, 10+ a lock from days ago. Never need to worry with east winds there.
  12. Slow start but it's been dumping 1-2"/hr the past couple hours. A very quick 2-3" has landed since about 6am at 1,500ft. Snow level down to the valley floors but nothing down at 750ft other than some slushy whitening.
  13. Late start at 1,500ft... really nothing overnight but it has really turned on with 2-3" in the past 90 minutes or so. We are hitting 2"/hr rates at times after the slow start.
  14. The diurnal minimum tomorrow morning is the time to make hay. Snow levels seem to rise on the models tomorrow afternoon away from the strongest lift and upper level low position. This is going to be fascinating to watch unfold. Nothing seems to have changed in the past few days on the larger scale. Big precipitation event.
  15. There’s going to be some elevation that verifies the weenie maps. Those aren’t wrong at a certain elevation. The 925mb coldest pocket is interior CNE.
  16. There has always been a modeled break between the front end stuff and the deepening of the surface low... it’s been warm too lately. You will need to rip 0.10-0.20” per hour over several hours to get this to snow under 1000-1500ft. The same everywhere, north or south. It’s antecedent mild, with no CAA... just top-down dynamic cooling. Very rate dependent...the cold isn’t just going to “move in.”
  17. Yeah and all adjacent areas... SNH down to Kev. Thing just nukes out. Everyone is just pounding paste with those precip rates. ORH hills 12-18”?
  18. What a fukking crush job in Mass on 6z Euro. Just bombs out and wraps up.
  19. Yeah I haven't seen a solution where SVT from Wilmington/Woodford to Killington doesn't get at least 8-10"+ at 1.5kft to 2kft and higher.
  20. Big elevation storms are not uncommon in NNE. This is the climo we bank on. It feels cheap, stat padder, and late in the season, but it does all fit into the mountain climatology. Seasonal totals are just that... October 1 to June 1. Doesn't matter when it falls to the seasonal total.
  21. Alex Cora is a leader. They love playing for him.
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