powderfreak

What a dumpster fire that was lol. I think after that was my changing point. No longer anxious for snow because I know it’ll come and be better than that winter haha.

Yeah man you go way back, I remember back on WWBB when we all used to post in one forum. It’s been fantastic to have another regular poster from the mountains in the north. Keeps the conversation going, especially a long time poster. Solid trade pick up by NNE. I bet you have at least 40” of snowfall left.

That’s more than NNE got in the last event of low ratio snow/sleet... that’s a fun, wintry day. Congrats.

Oh I hear you, but it is climo. I used to lose my mind a decade ago but you realize over time that yes, it does snow south of us and there will be periods when it’s much more active down south. The jet stream and baroclinic zone hits its furthest south spot on average in January and February, so expect those months to have a better shot at storms missing to the south... and it can happen for prolonged periods of time. Our sweet spot is early and late season when the climo gradients align a bit better. At some point, every winter, there will be a period where everything is south. Could have a January 2014 when we had more inches of rain in NNE than inches of snow in a period while Philly had several warning snow events between the cutters. In the end, trust climo. It always wins out long term despite short term frustrations.

Through the end of April is fair game at 1500ft in the northern mountains. Heck last year the first 10 days of May had several snow events.

Yeah but that’s also how winter climate goes. You don’t hit on every system and most winters one could say “what could have been” on numerous shortwaves or long stretches. You get a stretch of cutters and it’s “what could’ve been” if those tracked 50 miles south, etc. Looking at the daily snowfalls though on Cocorahs... has it been dead for long periods of time? It looked like it snowed measurable there more days than not for like 6 weeks, ha. I guess it just depends on perspective but aside from the area SE of the mountains in ME, it just doesn’t look that bad. We just don’t get synoptic hits weekly unless it’s a banner winter.

How fast you get acclimated. I’ve sensed some disappointment in those 100-inches lately even coming straight from Maryland lol.

You’ve been watching and studying model data, mid-levels and soundings now for over a decade... shouldn’t need Mets by this point . Ginxy never asks for a forecast, ha.

That radar looks pretty good for the south shore, I’d be pretty stoked down there.

Let’s be honest, I get up at that time a few days a week to do the weather/ops report, but it’s not a normal waking hour. This does explain a lot though about why you don’t get too deep into model data. Just read what other laptop users find.

Maybe some bread and butter? Nothing huge but keeps flakes in the air and keeps the pack looking fresh? For the first time in like 6 weeks, the snowpack doesn't "look fresh" in that fluffy pillow way. I miss that Japan pow look with even split rail fences sporting 10" that somehow defies gravity and curls under the railing. Dollops of snow clinging off everything. Now it looks more like usual northeast synoptic snow... dense, packed, from town to the mountain. I could go for some fluff on the trees, power lines, and objects to bring back the candy land forest look.

Hopefully some prolonged periods of upslope flow. Some of the QPF is decent over a period of several days in the mountains. This has the makings of nickel and dime stuff that adds up to 8” over 72 hours along the Spine.

Agreed. Hate models on phone despite using it most of the time. At home though it’s usually 17-inch laptop monitor sitting on my lap on the couch, ha.

Yeah, next two months of the 6 months of possible winter. Definitely longer up here, we usually have 6 full months of possible snow events.

At the end of the season?! It’s Feb 17th not Napril.

AWT. I figured around a foot when you posted that yesterday. 10” at worst left. Pretty embarrassing for those thinking a Xmas torch was event remotely possible, much less even mentioning it. Not even a blip for you. The loss was way out-gained by the SWE addition.

No the QPF was spot on it seems. The snowfall was definitely a bust in terms of inches, but in the end it doesn’t really matter if the QPF expected was realized. Just a lot of sleet and granular flakes, topped with drizzle/freezing drizzle most of the afternoon. Back over to a heavy snow squall at the mountain.

3.5” of dense white material on 0.64” water at 750ft. Really nice SWE addition to the pack. 4.25” on the board at 3,000ft. As expected with warm air aloft, not much change, if any, with elevation.

Melted down 0.64” water. So like 5-6:1 ratio at home.

Well that was a bust. 4” at 3,000ft... 3.5” at 750ft. But the QPF was significant so it looks like more in the snowbanks and piles, lol.

Looking good for sure. We’d do much better than the 10:1 maps while SNE gets ripped with denser snow. Large coastal plain swath.

So this won’t be like the Ginch storm with dews of 55-60F all the way to Canada? Someone seemed very worried about that the past day or two.

Yeah definitely the most fun events on the forum for sure are when everyone is getting snow.

This would be a nice area wide hit for sure. Snowfall for this event only.

Yeah for sure. Any liquid is bad. Sleet is no big deal and skis nicely. Groomed runs after sleet are about as good as they get. But again, as long as no liquid water got into it.