powderfreak

Saw my trusty GGEM with 1.72” at MVL and had to refresh three times to make sure ha.

WTF happened overnight, ha. Up to 0.5-1.0” or even more on some models now.

Not that cold. 2F but 0.5” of arctic sand fell overnight. Smallest flakes possible but still snowing. Definitely didn’t let us radiate at all.

I didn’t read it as an implication about anywhere else. He just said what it showed. Eastern areas are a lock for big snows from the NNE standpoint. A NW run is not bad at all when it was threatening full on suppression depression for most of the forum.

Can always do remote learning for sure. The public has been trained. Use technology on bad weather days. Didn’t have that option or infrastructure in the past for sure.

Agreed there, by far. Crushed all seasons real fast in the stay at home era. Phenomenal show.

Yeah it's real even in the weaker/lighter solutions. Of course there's a larger scale deep layer easterly flow and mid-level lift spreading precip way west, but that's like E MA version of meso-scale precipitation genesis... almost like orographics. But the lift is from speed convergence of the flow coming ashore not terrain, and some ever so subtle veering of the flow from ESE to ENE under 850mb helping the lowest levels. It's just going to pile up air into E MA. That type of strong low level lift also should result in an area of sinking/subsidence air nearby... almost like a standing wave pattern for a time. Very similar to upslope when you get waves of lift/sink develop. Of course any mid-level deform banding can overcome that lower stuff too. Need to watch for some more acute minimums that may not be traditional. I'm very high confidence at this point in E. MA QPF max... even glancing blow and weaker, you will get that stronger lift there relative to elsewhere. The mechanism for convergence is pretty strong, sustained cross barrier flow with the shoreline.

Winter Hill for sure, ha ha. Without joking though, it has been interesting to see that there hasn't been a distinct ORH Hills enhancement look but more of a general speed convergence enhancement look as the moisture comes ashore in E.Mass. Like land friction or something causing a pile up of air as it comes off the ocean... the QPF plots almost look like a tide coming inland and then decreasing as you move away from the coast. All the global models have that look. Just strong convergence as the air piles up on land like a massive traffic jam, and that strong easterly flow has no where to go but upwards as there's a speed convergence going on in the low levels. Probably also lifting over cold air at the SFC too. Just a great set up in EMA.

Definitely a canine. Could be any number of large breeds... Bernese Mtn Dog are popular breeds these days ha? Could also certainly be wild coyote if your neighbors don’t have large breed dogs. Was it circling the chickens?

Only 100 more miles to trend, ha. Not impossible at 84+ hours.

That’s awesome Gene. Nice catch!

Yeah highly recommend that for you guys from the mid-Atlantic. The boiling water to vapor experiment... fun stuff for kids.

Ahh yeah. We had one that month that did a big combo of synoptic and upslope. It might have been that one? Either way, looks quite different haha.

Is that the one that gave us 30”? Ha.

Easily coldest of the season this morning. Not a high bar to clear but ECMWF coming in with -26C at 850mb for this morning. These are some pretty rugged environmental conditions outside at the mountain. Put some hair on your chest.

Snowing here at -6F at 1500ft. Estimating 1-2” overnight in the lot but wind makes it impossible to know for sure.

-15F top of the FourRunner Quad on our snowmaking sensor. MMNV1 registering a wind chill of -50F right now. The wind is absolutely honking. Bet we are seeing 30-35mph at times in the base area. Fresh drifts everywhere.

It’s never over till it’s over. This lead time is still a long way out. Haven’t even seen any NAM solutions, ha. Anything is possible before the 84-hour NAM.

Snowing pretty decently this evening. Love evening snows in the flood lights.

Ha. Still a very strong signal for E.MA in the 51-member mean. It’s over up here though most likely.

Snowed all day at the mountain but to the tune of about only about 1.5”. Mood snows and just enough to need to brush the car off.

Wow, impressive. Go big or go home.

Nah I don’t think it’d be exhaust if it tucked in.

That's some texbook stuff for the south and east coast of SNE.

I know what terms of service I agree too when signing up online. Whether it’s good or bad starts to get too political, so I’m out.