powderfreak

How fast you get acclimated. I’ve sensed some disappointment in those 100-inches lately even coming straight from Maryland lol.

You’ve been watching and studying model data, mid-levels and soundings now for over a decade... shouldn’t need Mets by this point . Ginxy never asks for a forecast, ha.

That radar looks pretty good for the south shore, I’d be pretty stoked down there.

Let’s be honest, I get up at that time a few days a week to do the weather/ops report, but it’s not a normal waking hour. This does explain a lot though about why you don’t get too deep into model data. Just read what other laptop users find.

Maybe some bread and butter? Nothing huge but keeps flakes in the air and keeps the pack looking fresh? For the first time in like 6 weeks, the snowpack doesn't "look fresh" in that fluffy pillow way. I miss that Japan pow look with even split rail fences sporting 10" that somehow defies gravity and curls under the railing. Dollops of snow clinging off everything. Now it looks more like usual northeast synoptic snow... dense, packed, from town to the mountain. I could go for some fluff on the trees, power lines, and objects to bring back the candy land forest look.

Hopefully some prolonged periods of upslope flow. Some of the QPF is decent over a period of several days in the mountains. This has the makings of nickel and dime stuff that adds up to 8” over 72 hours along the Spine.

Agreed. Hate models on phone despite using it most of the time. At home though it’s usually 17-inch laptop monitor sitting on my lap on the couch, ha.

Yeah, next two months of the 6 months of possible winter. Definitely longer up here, we usually have 6 full months of possible snow events.

At the end of the season?! It’s Feb 17th not Napril.

AWT. I figured around a foot when you posted that yesterday. 10” at worst left. Pretty embarrassing for those thinking a Xmas torch was event remotely possible, much less even mentioning it. Not even a blip for you. The loss was way out-gained by the SWE addition.

No the QPF was spot on it seems. The snowfall was definitely a bust in terms of inches, but in the end it doesn’t really matter if the QPF expected was realized. Just a lot of sleet and granular flakes, topped with drizzle/freezing drizzle most of the afternoon. Back over to a heavy snow squall at the mountain.

3.5” of dense white material on 0.64” water at 750ft. Really nice SWE addition to the pack. 4.25” on the board at 3,000ft. As expected with warm air aloft, not much change, if any, with elevation.

Melted down 0.64” water. So like 5-6:1 ratio at home.

Well that was a bust. 4” at 3,000ft... 3.5” at 750ft. But the QPF was significant so it looks like more in the snowbanks and piles, lol.

Looking good for sure. We’d do much better than the 10:1 maps while SNE gets ripped with denser snow. Large coastal plain swath.

So this won’t be like the Ginch storm with dews of 55-60F all the way to Canada? Someone seemed very worried about that the past day or two.

Yeah definitely the most fun events on the forum for sure are when everyone is getting snow.

This would be a nice area wide hit for sure. Snowfall for this event only.

Yeah for sure. Any liquid is bad. Sleet is no big deal and skis nicely. Groomed runs after sleet are about as good as they get. But again, as long as no liquid water got into it.

My guess is he has 10” left. Maybe even 12” if it’s solid now.

Skiing in sleet can be painful but everyone has face masks, ha. Skiing on sleet is wonderful. It’s so smooth. Freezing rain though and the situation changes quickly.

Sleet is a great surface. Smooth and dense. The freezing rain is when it changes drastically. I personally love 6” of snow and sleet for skiing. It can ski really smooth and easily mask any previous surface.

It won’t be flattened. It’ll be a net gain in depth.

Yeah doesn’t matter, mountain summit or lowest valley... that warmth is way up there. Only way to stay snow is just to fight it off aloft. It’s like I tell folks we’ll mix to sleet and get... “maybe the mountain will stay snow because it seems to be a snowy place.” Maybe it will but not for that reason, ha.

Yeah I think everyone turns pretty much at similar times as it’s marginal up at 700-800mb. Local topography differences don’t seem to matter as much in these. Doesnt matter though, still a nice winter event. Don’t have to talk me into 6” of snow/sleet. That stuff skis so well... smooth and dense. You push a turn, it pushes back.