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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. Agreed there, by far. Crushed all seasons real fast in the stay at home era. Phenomenal show.
  2. Yeah it's real even in the weaker/lighter solutions. Of course there's a larger scale deep layer easterly flow and mid-level lift spreading precip way west, but that's like E MA version of meso-scale precipitation genesis... almost like orographics. But the lift is from speed convergence of the flow coming ashore not terrain, and some ever so subtle veering of the flow from ESE to ENE under 850mb helping the lowest levels. It's just going to pile up air into E MA. That type of strong low level lift also should result in an area of sinking/subsidence air nearby... almost like a standing wave pattern for a time. Very similar to upslope when you get waves of lift/sink develop. Of course any mid-level deform banding can overcome that lower stuff too. Need to watch for some more acute minimums that may not be traditional. I'm very high confidence at this point in E. MA QPF max... even glancing blow and weaker, you will get that stronger lift there relative to elsewhere. The mechanism for convergence is pretty strong, sustained cross barrier flow with the shoreline.
  3. Winter Hill for sure, ha ha. Without joking though, it has been interesting to see that there hasn't been a distinct ORH Hills enhancement look but more of a general speed convergence enhancement look as the moisture comes ashore in E.Mass. Like land friction or something causing a pile up of air as it comes off the ocean... the QPF plots almost look like a tide coming inland and then decreasing as you move away from the coast. All the global models have that look. Just strong convergence as the air piles up on land like a massive traffic jam, and that strong easterly flow has no where to go but upwards as there's a speed convergence going on in the low levels. Probably also lifting over cold air at the SFC too. Just a great set up in EMA.
  4. Definitely a canine. Could be any number of large breeds... Bernese Mtn Dog are popular breeds these days ha? Could also certainly be wild coyote if your neighbors don’t have large breed dogs. Was it circling the chickens?
  5. Yeah highly recommend that for you guys from the mid-Atlantic. The boiling water to vapor experiment... fun stuff for kids.
  6. Ahh yeah. We had one that month that did a big combo of synoptic and upslope. It might have been that one? Either way, looks quite different haha.
  7. Easily coldest of the season this morning. Not a high bar to clear but ECMWF coming in with -26C at 850mb for this morning. These are some pretty rugged environmental conditions outside at the mountain. Put some hair on your chest.
  8. Snowing here at -6F at 1500ft. Estimating 1-2” overnight in the lot but wind makes it impossible to know for sure.
  9. -15F top of the FourRunner Quad on our snowmaking sensor. MMNV1 registering a wind chill of -50F right now. The wind is absolutely honking. Bet we are seeing 30-35mph at times in the base area. Fresh drifts everywhere.
  10. It’s never over till it’s over. This lead time is still a long way out. Haven’t even seen any NAM solutions, ha. Anything is possible before the 84-hour NAM.
  11. Snowing pretty decently this evening. Love evening snows in the flood lights.
  12. Ha. Still a very strong signal for E.MA in the 51-member mean. It’s over up here though most likely.
  13. Snowed all day at the mountain but to the tune of about only about 1.5”. Mood snows and just enough to need to brush the car off.
  14. I know what terms of service I agree too when signing up online. Whether it’s good or bad starts to get too political, so I’m out.
  15. Yeah on the internet... someone else made something for people to share ideas but they still hold the cards. At some point a media will be made with 100% free speech. But we are still using someone else’s invention/platform. You are still able to voice yourself in the same ways as you were prior to the internet. I signed a term of agreement before logging on here.
  16. I dunno, I don’t expect total unrestricted free speech on these platforms. Whether it’s AMWX or Reddit. We sign up to these platforms and agree to them having complete control over the content. We are more than welcome to create our own platform...and *that* is free speech.
  17. It’s still a private company. What’s wrong is we as humans put all our eggs into these companies and then think of it as free speech. Maybe the gov’t needs to come up with a free public social platform. I don’t know the answer but we are using private companies to share our voices. Social media is a user opt-in platform, not a right.
  18. I’m with you. I love seeing the tables turned on some of these experts. Shows the power of Reddit... same with when TicTock users bought tickets to Trump rallies. Large groups on the internet can collectively have a big impact. I laugh every time I think of Game Stop... what an obsolete store. Like Blockbuster and movies, all video games are purchased and downloaded now. There is zero reason for a brick and mortar store. It’s hilarious watching the Reddit trading groups absolutely hose the big traders with massive losses for many short sellers.
  19. Union and Staffordville? Trying to think of other hill towns but coming up blank...
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