powderfreak

Someone on the west slope into J.Spin’s area looks to be getting smoked. Cold air mass slamming moisture into the mountains. That escalated into like a deform band type radar echoes real fast. Snowing on this side now too. Lower level scan so Mountains blocking some of the radar beams.

Yeah, ha that radar escalated fast on the west slope to the crest.

18z HRRR looks decent... even a third of an inch of water on the slopes would help.

Awesome Gene!

Some models have like 0.40” water over JSpin (Canadian HRRR) lol. I bet on an ensemble he’d had some 10-12” members ha. Theres some workable QPF on the models over this way...that’s not the worst signal.

Happy Birthday dude. Taste that cake.

HREF mean likes 4-6” for the ski areas in NVT. Good old SREF plumes are around 2” for MVL out in the valley, so one would think the slopes might get at least some help or a snowy day tomorrow.

Got some snow coming it looks like tomorrow. A couple waves but snow growth looks pretty good. Could be a refresh. With no synoptic storms we need to keep limping along with butter on some bread. Euro is the lightest... GFS is the heaviest... this would be a good shot for the Northern Greens. GGEM NAM

Up to 7F at MVL... still getting gusts over 30mph.

Yeah I had a half inch with the initial squall at 3pm that’s completely gone except for all the footprints and dog prints are filled in. Had some decent secondary squalls at like 10pm and I don’t think the snow even hit the ground. Most snow in the flood lights seemed to be going upward. Good flake size too. Other than that, the crusty surface is just wiped clean. Covered with pine needles, sticks, boughs and debris though.

This has been one of the longest wind events I can remember. Just constant for 12 hours at least.

BTV at 24G40... peak gust of 47mph so far. KBTV 020154Z 34024G40KT

Latest is 47kts at ALB... 54mph. A solid hour now of 40-55mph gusts. Pretty solid.

My parents lost power in the ALB area at 8:30pm. ALB airport has had several 45-50mph gusts... 1/4sm +SN too. KALB 020129Z 29024G37KT 1/4SM R01/2200V5500FT +SN FZFG BKN008 BKN023 BKN036 M04/M06 A2981 RMK AO2 PK WND 27040/0117 PRESRR P0000 T10441061

That’s what our parking lot and road looks like. Just packed ice. It’s slickest when you get a little rainwater on top of that. Almost impossible to walk on... gotta hold onto your car while you slide around to the door lol.

Sugarbush to and just south might get that meso-scale convergence band train over them that some models showed. Like we’ve been talking about, it probably ends up raking Killington for a while given the winter they’ve had of over-performers.

2" in about an hour at 1,500ft with the squall line now that it's all over.

A very fast inch and still snowing at 1,500ft. Snowing and graupel coming down in clumps at times it seemed. Almost thought we might hear some thunder given how dark and intense that came in.

Just hit here. Can't see across Over Easy. Visibility has to be 1/4 mile or so. It's almost entirely graupel though. Just pounding dippin' dots.

Skiing has been much better than expected today... they regroomed a bunch this morning and you could tell there was a freezing rain event from 2,500ft and above from ice on the trees. But it softened up nicely today and the lowest 1,000ft have a spring-like surface. That will lock up tight though here shortly. We are all snow down through 1,500ft at this point after some earlier rain showers (just flurries now). But anything falling from here on out should remain snow with CAA. Can see the FROPA approaching the northern Champlain Valley on radar... should produce some decent squalls as it hits the Spine if past history is any indication.

We've had some sleet falling here this morning. Looks like some rain or freezing rain overnight as the slopes are glazed.

It looks like there could be some orographic snows but nothing stands out at this point. Conditions today were very firm below 2,500ft where a thaw/freeze cycle occurred. Up at 3000ft and above is best. The trick this week will be if any rain occurs and how far up in elevation it happens tomorrow morning. Even a passing heavy shower to the summits can wreck it. Arctic squalls tomorrow afternoon could bring light accums and then there’s some weak stuff that may fire up some orographic snow on Wednesday afternoon?

Yeah that’s what I’ve heard! Awesome. Seems like it’s been a great winter in the Killington area.

Yeah my buddy’s parents live at 2,100ft at Pico and he says they seem to think it’s been one of the best snow years in a long time. Every event has seemed to over-perform in that area. I do think that plays a lot into the overall vibe of winter even regardless of totals. If every event ends up snowier than expected (whether it’s a 6-12” forecast that ends up 24-30” in Dec or a 1-2” forecast that ends up 5”), it has to leave a better taste in the end.

Do you guys grade based on climo or experience? Like is it an enjoyment grade or a flat compared to climo grade?