powderfreak

What a day it turned out to be. Absolutely beautiful afternoon. Town is packed.

A buddy in Dover, VT had a little snow on his truck this morning. Screen shot from a video, but definitely saw flakes last night.

Heading out for a hike. Partly sunny and about 60F. Could be worse. Looks like the Picnic Tables are going to make a run for 50F. Real close to going just full blue.

Yeah, but herd mentality is hard to shift on the whole. I agree with you that if you see 80+% outside still in Boston/Cambridge wearing masks, it won't end quickly unless a large group of them decide to stop it. Then I think it'll end fast. They want to see other's doing it first. In the end, it doesn't matter in the least. Who cares. Everyone has their choice now.

My gut says it has literally nothing to do with fear at all. Maybe/definitely conditioning. But for the most part it's about "reading" the scene and fitting in with everyone else. If someone shows up and parks, sees no one has a mask on, they won't put it on. They roll up and see 80%+ with masks on, they throw it on too. People don't like to stand out. I think it's solely based on what they see and they fit in.

Yeah that makes a lot of sense actually. People like to be polite and have been conditioned that it's the polite thing to do is wear a mask. Like having a few people walking to the front of a store and all trying to hold the door open for each other so that in actuality no one enters the store first and it's that awkward "No, I got it for you" "No man, you go I've got the door." Haha. Meanwhile the one guy in the back is just like "fine, you guys want to play that, I don't care if you hold it or not, I'm going in."

I have to consciously remember *not* to put a mask on. It's totally conditioning. Like putting a seatbelt on when I pull out of the driveway. It would be like if for a year everyone was told they NEED to wear a red shirt on Tuesdays... it takes 6+ months but finally every human is in a red shirt on Tuesday. Then they tell you that you don't need to wear a red shirt on Tuesday after another 6 months. Go out in public after and I bet 75% still wear a red shirt on Tuesdays, haha. Not because they care, but just because it was muscle memory.

ORH with 0.43” water in first 2.5 hours. HFD with 0.81”... Good soaking coming.

That legit. Healthy, strong growth getting tossed around.

I was leaning towards rain or white rain in the wind. It’s definitely right there with frozen core potential, but I’ve seen enough breezy transitional rain on live cans to think it’s not quite snow. Once it switches to pure snow it sound be noticeable, more floaty.

43F at 9:30. Colder south and east where evaporational cooling is happening, even from virga. Where precip is actually falling will be the coldest this weekend.

I get them giving the Marlins the top of the 6th to respond. If they can’t counter here, games over. Edit: And there it is. Delayed. Likely done.

Same. Even up here. Shorts this evening with hat and gloves up on the mountain. It’s amazing how low you can wear shorts if the core of body and head are kept warm.

Pouring at Fenway. This game isn't long for this world. The fans just look absolutely soaked and cold all the sudden.

Looks like some bright banding in the southern 'Dacks to S.VT out of the ALY radar. Beam height looks to be 3,500-4,500ft in those spots, so probably some glistening wet crystals getting sampled.

I have my heat zones set for 60F and the heat kicked on this evening. Nothing like paying for heat all weekend for Memorial Day. In the winter I’ll do mid-60s but this time of year the wife is going to live with 60F inside .

Your lawn likes this. A little surprised you aren’t more excited given how much you seem to hate dragging a sprinkler around. But probably better to be BBQing outside, drinking beers and complaining about Stein. That’s better for Memorial Day weekend, agreed there.

Taking the dog on her daily evening walk and the outside thermometer on the top lift building is showing 37-38F. Only a mid/upper cloud deck but it has that feel that if it started precipitating somehow it would be snow. Had to throw on a hat to cover the ears and gloves. What a way to start Memorial Day weekend... the unofficial start to summer .

Yeah HRRR looked to have some accums in those pinpoint dots.

Yeah I think after Monday most are 2”+ in SNE. Just like in winter when you toss outliers but then watch model run after model run of all models bring inches of water.... at some point it’s like hmmm, not one model is showing caution flags. The NAM family is still going strong on the 18z runs lol. Sun/Mon really starting to amplify.

Yeah just like a winter storm, the larger the amounts modeled the more skeptical one should get. But the EPS mean has 90%+ probabilities of >2” of rain by Tuesday morning for a pretty sizable area. There will likely be some good soaking rainfall for all the lawns for days.

lol at the EURO. Literally just days prior the discussion was another desert summer. These values are like a third of normal summer water in SNE coming on Memorial Day Weekend.

Well said dude. Optimism in life and not going around worried that some larger entity is trying to pull a fast one on you is the way to go. Optimism, compassion and empathy. The human race would be good focusing on those three things.

There's nothing like the mindset of "What can I complain about?" Guess if its dry, I'll bitch about that. If it rains, I'll complain about that too.

50/25 right now in the valley. Ha. October.