powderfreak

For sure, plenty of risks going around. Was merely speaking of the COVID going around here. It’s everywhere from the holidays around these parts but knock on wood, luckily everyone I know with it recently has extremely mild symptoms. Don’t mean to take away from the harsh reality of how it can affect someone. Sorry for the projecting.

Yeah and I also wonder about a large number of people who have not being sick in the least since like 2020 might play into it. Longest period of my life with zero illness at all during the hyper mask, sanitation, low human density times. Interesting retrospective on that health aspect… maybe just a solid head cold could do a number if the body hasn’t fought one in a couple years? Who knows but that rocked me for several days. I still feel it, lingering cough and sinus effects. Hope Dendy sees some improvement in the next couple days.

Sounds too severe to be COVID if you are vaxxed. I had a 102-103F fever for 2-3 days about 10 days ago, coughing, head cold, etc. Multiple tests negative for COVID. Several others at the ski area had same thing, fever, chills, long lasting cough (I still have it 10 days later) and negative COVID. Doctor even said it was definitely more severe symptoms than vaxxed and boosted patients he had. He explained vaxxed and boosted patients around here were seeing slight sore throats or even stuff that you would’ve never paid attention to in the past. Speculated that the high fever was the actual flu as many of us forgot to get that vaccine this year, ha.

Speaking of, I was surprised on radar how far those streamers are going downwind. They’ve been training over Jackson and Bartlett area.

2” last hour. Just crushing snow at 1500ft.

Hard to say, we were at 5” since yesterday morning as of 12pm. Probably another inch since.

Ski area has another 2” since the snow board flip at 6am. Almost 5” including yesterday daytime snow.

That’s awesome. Lol who would’ve thought. Even DIT was low.

That’s an awesome scene. Love to see it.

The last few pages have been awesome. Congrats to all. Need some photos when daylight breaks.

Agreed for your area and the Whites. Easterly flow ahead of the low and surface blocked NW flow as it pulls away. Should be a good snow wrapping around the mountains from SE to NW.

I don't hate it. The 3km NAM is just as useless or useful... It bounces around but I've come to like the HRRR four main runs a day over the 3km NAM. 3km NAM has some high terrain errors in QPF/moisture progs that the HRRR seems to resolve better too. That affects my opinion a bit. Synoptic coastal storms might be different.

The southerly aspect plays a big role too. You face a great direction. I know we all like the idea of a dark, shaded north facing spot but in reality, no thanks. Hard pass. Humans need sunshine and in a cold climate, it's nice.

Shut 'em down... a winter weather advisory is good enough cover reason regardless of outcome.

I will say the HRRR extended runs at 00/06/12/18z have been pretty good this season IMO. I've watched it more than normal for whatever reason. The hourly differences can be crap, but the earlier runs showing a good hit from you to BOS were in that extended range that has seemed ok this winter at least up here. Who knows. It's not terrible when taken in the aggregate, just the hour to hour runs diminish it's value. It'd be like running the 3km NAM hourly, of course there's going to be a lot of variety.

Ha, "sir you did not pass the field sobriety test."

lol that's awesome. But it does fit. It's all air. Just feathers.

Got a good 2” of fluff today at 1500ft. Zero moisture, high ratio.

See if this works: https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/vt/burlington/cxx I think it just defaults to BTV radar but you need to play with the zoom and scans to get it how you want.

Yeah it's been snowing pretty good at the ski area. Only an inch though it looks like, feels like more than that though given the dearth of snowfall lately. Good lake connection from Lake Ontario and upslope assist.

It looks like ratios would be high, the snow growth zone is down into the summits. That’s generally a good sign to maximize moisture.

Ah gotcha. Yeah over the last many years you just get used to nor'easters being more coastal plain storms, ha. You look for the other storms that don't snow in those areas. It's a tough habit to break though, always wanting to be included in those big ticket items. We'll get the consistent snow cover and some good storms, and they'll get the occasional big moisture laden ocean storm.

This is the first one though right? The last one missed north.

That's a very interesting pattern. Off and on. Interesting if there are different initializations or parameters in place between certain runs.

1-3". Some upslope snow showers. Still snow on the trees has kept it wintry, high of 32F today helped. Much better than the single digits and below zero cold of recent days. We rely on some weak moisture and NW flow for this system on the backside. Ratios likely help as it's cold aloft. Maybe J.Spin and favored calm fluffer locations pull 4"?