powderfreak

Looks interesting.

Nothing like a SVR Watch in mid-October. The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far western Connecticut Far western Massachusetts Eastern New York Northeast Pennsylvania Vermont * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A thin, low-topped convective line should intensify as it spreads east across eastern New York into western New England, as well as possibly across northeast Pennsylvania. A brief tornado threat is anticipated across parts of the Champlain and Upper Hudson Valleys. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Burlington VT to 30 miles south southwest of Monticello NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

Definitely a “dirty” fall torch. It’s very mild but low clouds, fog and drizzle. Very much like a winter torch where the warm sector is mild but not “nice” out. Too much moisture trapped low.

A couple shots from the inversion the other day.

Utah in the Cottonwood Canyons in mid-October lol.

It’s not needed now, it has been needed the past few summers it seems more than ever though.

Ha yeah not verbatim but all models have a shift from what’s happened the rest of this month. Looks like first one early this week then a reload late week/next weekend. At some point it will get cold, at least transiently.

Is that Day 7-10? That cold shot on GFS and GGEM was pretty impressive. This would be one helluva wake up call after the warmth this month. Frigid cold pool, even a 522dm contour in S.NH.

Phin and others up here will have to be on the lookout for snow showers Mon/Tues. I’m out of town all next week starting Monday morning.

This is mind boggling to me. It’s obviously not the only issue but the fact that cranes aren’t working all the time (staggering breaks) is absurd if true. “Truckers unlucky enough to be waiting around lunchtime will watch as the entire crane crew stops work, instead of staggering their hours. “They leave for two hours, and you are stuck with no one there,” trucker Brian said.”

The craziest thing about this time of year is it can range from practically summer even at the summits… to other years you need snowmobiles to get around on the hill. I think it was 2006 the stake had 30” of settled depth in October with people skiing glades and employees ripping around on snowmobiles like it was December. Of course that 30” in 2006 melted and it didn’t snow again until MLK Weekend and Valentines Day 2007. Edit: Or was it 2005? What year was Hurricane Wilma? Something associated with Wilma dropped feet of snow.

60F in shorts at the cloud line around 3,500ft right now, one county south of Canada. Summit hit 62F. Just comfy .

Yeah I was a lot more gung-ho give me freezing temps every month of the year even coming from ALB… can’t imagine MD. We’ve talked about it but it’ll be interesting in 10 years or so what your thoughts are. I think as long as you go south for warm season though you may avoid the complacency (if that’s the right word).

Patience is probably it to be honest. I feel like a decade ago I/we as a forum had legit winter anxiety. Like what if it’s not a banner year?! Wasted part of our lives! Now it’s like “it’ll snow, it’ll be winter, just let it happen. If it isn’t a banner year it’ll just try again next year.” The level of “high-strung” over winter that used to happen in here as a whole has really mellowed out over the past 5-10 years. Maturity? Ha, can’t be that. Has to be patience. Maybe if we were banished back to a warmer winter climate we’d regain that again. We’ve been spoiled on the whole for 15 years relative to climate in many areas too.

Febucutter?

Those are exactly it! See those all over apple orchards and corn mazes in New England.

That's the main thing. It will come. Just like in April/May, summer will come eventually. No need to rush it.

Lifetime Original movie set in NNE in October type vibe. Men in flannels, women in boots. How they print it in the brochure. Brochure says nothing about Torchtober.

If there’s one thing I’ve noticed, if it was a snow threat everyone is in on it… but it’s the gap between nice outdoor 60-75F and cold/snow that gets people. Even Will has said it for years… highs in the 40s and 50s are some of the least desirable weather on the planet (ie Maryland in winter). Anything to minimize that, be it snow chances lingering in spring followed by fast warm up… or mild autumn that flips to winter in November.

Thy days of creaming thy knickers over endless days of 43 degree rain in October doth gone.

Have seen a nice bump this month. By pure luck I didn’t have any holdings in the dip/sell off previously.

Minimum of 56F at MVL last night is around the average high temp for today. Windows open.

October 28 = Bad. November 1 = Good to go. 72 hours apart. Winter fans aren’t superstitious.

Leaves down. Just need a little snow to make the glades skiable, ha. Still no where near a frost or freeze on the hill... but guess sunlight matters more than temperatures for leaf drop.

That sounds like every Apple Store in the country. "Oh your appointment is for 3:15pm and it's 3:10pm? Let me check you in. It'll only be an hour or so wait sir."