powderfreak

In 8 more EURO runs the snow should be reaching the south coast. Only 8 more runs to go .

6z EURO for the Queens.

Island Pond, VT at -34F so far is about the coldest I can find for Vermont. Some of the COOPs up there in NEK might have dipped near there but will need to wait for the morning Coop report.

Now that’s cold.

No, been lulled by too many mild winter months the past few years ha. “It never gets cold anymore.”

My SUV has been struggling in this cold, finally got a whole bunch of warning lights on the dash after a slow start up. It would be great if it could stop getting to -25F for all of us with no garage, ha. Oil is probably like a slurpee. Machines aren’t made for this.

Lol -25F with a wind chill of -35F in town. Awesome. What a cold January of yore.

Not going to lie that’s what makes it even better coming from the TAN crowd. We’d think you guys would be able to sympathize with many other posters.

Bob doesn't want to hear dissent this evening. Just mowing down anyone who says otherwise.

It’s a different type of event when the Taunton crew isn’t doing that . Good to see SE Mass feeling it.

A very cold January evening in Vermont... but looking idyllic as ever. Took the long way home from Burlington this evening with the wife. It didn't disappoint. -1/-15 right now.

I’ll disagree in that most posts I read are just discussing model trends. It is what it is. Still a long way to go with 48+ hours out. No one should be completely confident on any solution… but folks will watch and comment on how things are trending. If it was moving west towards crushing ALB right now, the discussion would be if folks turn to rain…and you’d likely wonder why everyone is worried about an amped solution. You have an ability to stay focused on it snowing and will live or die on that hill…which is what makes this forum entertaining and fun.

Ha I have zero horse in the race but we go over this once in a while… when you seem to just read the model trends wrong. Most model pages allow an easy toggle. It doesn’t mean anyone who says the RGEM ticked east means they think you won’t get snow. It just means it ticked east . Its an 84 hour 18z RGEM run. Who cares.

At the top of model graphics they have writing that tells you what the map is showing and when.

You all Ninja’d me! Impressive. DIT pounding beers.

Here’s the last two runs. If that’s a huge jump NW you are drunker than you think. Top is old, bottom is new.

It’s the GGEM family. Better at simulating hockey games than weather?

Ha what a model mean. Next run it’ll have snow to ALB.

Lol for SE Mass. White pines just destroyed by wind and snow.

Looks like a homeless encampment while his kid measures snow on the tents.

I’m driving to Scooter’s house, ha. Gonna see a tent set up in his backyard with me in full arctic camping gear.

Up to 3 whole Fahrenheit’s at 12:30pm at MVL ASOS. This month has been legit. Heating bill will be unreal (but not fake unfortunately).

Haha maybe add an inch between friends?

Yeah I'd think it ends up more like KBED... near where Ray and Will live on that axis. But it's still so early. Maybe within 48 hours we can get a better picture. I just looked at the GEFS and they've been incredibly consistent in the means. KBED QPF is 0.50" and last 3 runs are 0.46", 0.50", 0.52". 4 runs back was 0.74". But for 4 cycles it looks almost identical on the QPF progs to be honest. Pretty decent consistency.

The deform likes to find the QPF gradient on the models or be just west of it... so I'd agree with that.