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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. It’s true, ha. But the cold season also has larger standard deviations for temps than the warm season. More likely to see huge departures in cold season.
  2. 1.75” here at 6:30. Moon starting to show.
  3. Did measure and it was a bit less than my eyeball test. 1.75” here. Thought it was a solid two or two and a quarter but nope, that’s why we measure .
  4. We are probably nearing 2”. Will measure on the elevated board closer to 00z. It’s total fluff. A 15mph breeze would completely clean the SUV off.
  5. Yeah just really picked up. About an inch of fluff on wife’s car at home. This is the fluff that you can see the grass “through” it here lol.
  6. -SN setting the holiday mood while running holiday errands in Stowe Village.
  7. About a half inch of the lightest falling snow ever. I think the sun has been out all morning too. Classic dim sun -SN.
  8. You can see the model 2m temps trying to pick out cold pockets and warmth mixing in later next week with CAD pockets. Pretty cool.
  9. I think we’ll get a couple days that could go more. It looks pretty mild anytime it mixes out. Relative to normal it’s pretty warm. But normal is lower up here, ha.
  10. We had a dusting last night that evaporated at home. Some ice and random small plow piles all that are left around town. Hope to see an inch or two to whiten things up in the next 36 hours. I think most see 1-3” in the NNE crew… chances for more in ME/NH to me given IVT potential.
  11. I agree, the science is unknown long term. We are adding “energy” or heat to the overall atmosphere. The question is how small a ripple rocks the boat. Current data is less dramatic than certain language.
  12. To me that sounds like an engineering problem… Mother Nature is giving the water either way, snow or rain. We are comfortable humans, maybe we need to adapt a bit. But if the water falls from the sky, no matter what form, that’s on us for not utilizing it properly.
  13. Yeah, maybe if you miss a snowstorm by 0.5C you might wonder about 50 years ago. But this? Pilgrims would be chillin’ on the beach, happy to be warm. Looks like the real deal for a December “relaxation.”
  14. It sounds dumb, but even that dusting to 1-2" after a rainer has a more wintry appeal than going rain to cold/dry/frozen ground. Frozen standing water is one thing, at least add a skiff coating of snow to the local fields to give a wintry feel.
  15. How often do you get *this* many model runs showing an IVT signature? The location hasn’t been stable but the ingredients and presence of one somewhere has been there for many cycles. Like days of model runs, it’s not a new feature.
  16. Very true. My vantage point and comments come from a mountain in NNE that will average colder than those spots further south. The crew in NVT, NNH, NWME will see it mitigated in actuals compared to spots like the Catskills, Poconos, Berkshires. There’s a big latitude difference there. Relative to normal it could be the same, but normals are colder up north… mild high/lows of 45/25 hit differently than south at 55/35 with regard to snow preservation at ski areas.
  17. The biggest issue by far for ski areas is a lack of expansion in operations heading into one of the busiest 1-2 weeks of the entire winter. They won’t close but they won’t be expanding, which puts terrain buildout probably at least two weeks behind when you consider the mild stretch the week before Thanksgiving that delayed openings. A good 14-24” nor’easter would fix it quickly at any time though.
  18. I think it’s usually because people don’t realize the amount of water being pumped as snow. The QPF is off the "charts” (ba dum bum ching). I always tell people, remember how long it can be warm with March/April/May sun angles with dews too… and how long those man-made ribbons last. That stuff seems to survive two weeks without sniffing freezing. Granted it doesn’t look great, but you’re trying to melt like 2-3 feet of sleet right now.
  19. I mean it takes something real special to melt off manmade snow. That stuff survives the humidity of May and weeks above freezing in the spring. Even Dec 2015 had skiing. I saw videos of the woods still skiable today after yesterday’s deluge.
  20. Ha, it won’t be pretty but it’s not *that* hot.
  21. 12z GFS and NAM were looking a bit better for us northern folks. Nice light event.
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