powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Yeah absolutely still above normal in totality. Our min last night stayed +5 despite feeling refreshing… which says something about the prior air mass. Were it not for the thick summit level stratus deck it feels like it would get warm with sunshine. Summit level registering 53F currently at MMNV1 so maybe it wouldn’t warm that much. That fits with near 70F down here.
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GFS going drought buster days 5-7. Just firehose of moisture on SE flow.
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Up to 69F now at noon. What a difference the past two days from the previous 3-4 days.
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Another example of how hot it was and what even “normal” feels like… Normal low temp here is 54F in the most recent 30-year climo update. The forecast low is 57F, which is a great relief. But it’s still above normal and we will bill it as substantial relief. Yesterday was 91F (+13) max and 70F (+16) min… a +15 day in high summer is very impressive. Big anomalies are harder to come by this time of year… standard deviation less than it is in cold season.
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In dog we trust.
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62/58 here. You know it’s been humid when dews of upper 50s feels like a breath of fresh air. A 58F dew felt humid after June and first half of July. Windows and doors open, wife complaining about being cold. Don’t give a shit if your cold right now honey, grab a blanket, embrace it and enjoy it. Sliders are staying open.
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Ha you and TBlizz have had more in like 90 minutes than I have in two weeks I think. We do have it more frequently though, a bunch of 0.25-0.50” vs the one time 1.50”+. Only 1.33” here in past two weeks I think but like 5 days with rain out of 14.
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The Taunton crew racking up the water this week. Good to see. Full the swamps back up.
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64/59 My mini-split seems to be pumping out heat now.
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Yes good call. For mid-summer. Usually do not see this type of gradient in the second half of summer too. Once we get into autumn you start seeing it more. But to have 59F afternoon at MSS in the St Lawerance Valley, while most of SNE is about to burst into flames from high HI... it's impressive. More so because it's not just like its upper 80s down there... but high end record heat.
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Meanwhile BTV is 63F. That's a wild gradient across New England right now.
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66/61 here now at 12:10pm. Breezy northwest wind too. Lol. How it can go from afternoons of absolute torching to sitting mid-60s is wild. 50s are back in N.NY like MSS.
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Front is through BTV… 64/61. Just a wild boundary between cool and absolute torch.
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Roughly a half inch here, rounding up by a few hundredths.
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You “win.” That’s insane. The 1.45” L.E. in 2+ months. Averaging under 0.75” per month.
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A massive reservoir about 20 miles outside Las Vegas… gambling, prostitution, drugs… the vice capital of the world. Organized crime thrives there. You wonder how many people really “disappeared” in that area over the years. Southern VT plateau though…
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The western US knows how to do drought. They just keep finding bodies as the water level drops in Lake Mead. The 4th one this summer. Wonder what the drought here in the northeast will uncover… Mob hits left and right. “Boaters found a body inside of a barrel after extremely low water levels exposed the bottom of the lake.” https://www.npr.org/2022/08/08/1116307660/lake-mead-human-remains-fourth-body-swim-beach
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Nice, I think I described it the same earlier. Swirling gusty winds, wasn’t like true straight line winds.
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No argument on any of that. This weekend into early next week the trough axis is right over us… but then retrogrades westward as we go through next week which would support larger scale SE flow. Eventually by like Aug 18-20 it’s in the Ohio Valley. Good ‘cane look too, sucking up the coast.
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Model data averages 2-M temps around normal, GEFS a bit cooler. No one is saying it’s cold, but after this stretch, this is a noticeable change that the public will notice. Hopefully dews stay up for you my man. I’m also not even sure it happens but on a science forum we have some data saying a change is going to happen. These are 2-M temps days 5-9 averaged.
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The ensembles are sort of done with the torch after Thursday. Just nice August weather after that. We can argue if they are right or wrong but they all say the same thing Day 5-9. EPS: The GEFS… And why not the Canadian ensembles too?
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We know you don’t look at model data and rather mock data you don’t agree with, but numerous models have decent anomalies at 850mb this weekend. Doesn’t mean jacket weather, just a break. Here’s Euro:
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You’ve only had 4.40” since May 1st or June 1st? Around 12” here since 5/1. West side of Mansfield in Underhill looks to be leading the state of VT with 16.5”-17.5”.
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Just saw MVL ASOS gusted 43mph with that storm. Sounds about right, I would’ve estimated in the 40-50mph zone. More than enough to risk losing some full foliage branches and stuff. Probably the best wind of a storm yet this season.
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Just about the same rain with round one, Stratus is just a tick above 0.30” line. We had some pretty solid winds too, thought we might lose power to be honest, downbursty swirling with the heavy rain.
