powderfreak

37F, going to start getting frosty.

44F on my car at 6:40pm getting home. Feels like it may end the growing season tonight. Ground is wet from days of rain so not sure if we fog out, but it’s clear and calm now. Radiators mount up.

When I was down there last fall the whole place seemed like it would flood with water given 5+ foot increase in water. I’m sure many areas are 10-20 feet up but just has that “barrier island” vibe.

Props to the ingenuity of this NBC reporter to keep the microphone dry.

Just keeps raining. Almost another four tenths today bordering the golf course. From dry to daily. Noticed a lot of standing water around this evening. Mountain picked up another 0.65”. Every day a bit of rain.

It rains every single day now. Pouring out.

Yeah it’s changing fast day by day now. I’d say maybe a week? The funny thing is it usually finds it’s way to the first week or two of October regardless. Not sure if that’s solar related, but what can happen is the foliage is just “faster” and still ends within a few days of every other year (if that makes sense). Two years ago there was two distinct “peaks”… first was red and green in September. Second was red/orange. Foliage seemed to go for weeks but still ended by mid-October. It’s just interesting the “late” foliage seasons though don’t push it back to like Halloween. It just seems to shorten it and it all ends relatively at a similar time.

Nice evening after rain showers most of the afternoon in the mountains. Foliage seems behind by a bit based on previous years' photos. But that first cold shot finally started getting the ball rolling. I think October 5 - 15 time frame will be the best around here. The high-end color still seems a week out or so. Can see the steeple of Stowe Village down there dead center bottom for reference. The evening's are getting shorter though... this was the evening walk/hike with the dog. It was pretty much dark when we got down. A couple months ago it felt like the middle of the day still.

Cold season lake effect bands firing. Getting residual rain showers up this way off the Ontario band.

Mother Nature loves her averages. It all averages out eventually. It’s an important lesson to keep in the back of the mind about long term droughts especially… but guess it’s not comforting when it’s July and your lawn looks like the dirt grounds of an arid middle eastern compound.

Water amounts vs. radar echoes have increased. Heading towards a half inch? Soaking but boring. Dews hitting 50F, sliding doors cracked. Sound of sustained rain is a nice change after the convective hit or miss variety.

It definitely isn’t Dr. No of the past when if it showed something in the mid-ranges, that was always the way to lean. I wonder if it was because the Euro was that advanced of a model or the GFS was just that bad, ha. If it’s tucked in on a nor’easter, you can no longer expect that. Maybe the atmosphere was more conductive to those events back then, but whenever it would be the western most track in coastals it was right… now it’s whatever model is further NE . I agree, the Euro isn’t what it once was… or was is it the GFS has just closed the gap?

Looks like about 1/4” rainfall over about 5 hours of -RN. Seemed more like a cold season synoptic rain with just 0.05”/hr type light rainfall.

Lol you are on a tear against the ECMWF.

I think it’s well behind a lot of my other year pictures. I’m thinking October 5-15 time frame. There’s some color but it’s generally orange tint. Lots of green too. FB reminds me daily of other year photos I’ve posted and a couple look like we were nearing peak or at last the first peak. Bright red/orange mixed with green two years ago this time of year.

Deeper cold allowed for more ice crystals, growing into flakes, in the ADKs. Snow levels fell to 1,800-2,200ft+ and that’s the average inhabited level in a good part of a few counties.

That’s like the end of a Marvel movie when they show people driving home while there’s a huge flash and blast off into space… and some superhero is flying fist-first upward. Or maybe the discussion is Kim Jong-um or China is firing test launches in the North Atlantic. That conversation could go either direction, ha. Pretty cool so many people saw it.

That’s nuts to me. I know you can see stuff from a long way away when it’s up in the sky, but I wouldn’t have guessed it was so visible launching from FL. Right atmospheric conditions too?

Looks like another decent cool shot at Day 5. Nice to see some good troughs this time of year. GEFS 5-day average anomalies at 850mb.

Ha posting at 1:30am from LA. Right.

Is your feed now filled with all posts that include the letters s-t-e-i-n in that order somewhere in the post or user name? lol I just picture the AI algorithm being like “only show this account these things, he doesn’t click on anything else.”

Found this shot by the Green Mountain Club from Battell Shelter (Lincoln, VT) of the snowfall yesterday. Thats legit for September 22.

37F this morning but no frost. Pesky wind. Just couldn’t decouple fully. It was below freezing at the summits, so if it could’ve decoupled we usually can radiate to Mansfield’s summit temp. Probably would’ve been our first freeze.

37F here but no frost. Some wind all night. It is still hammering here at the ski area. Gondola is on wind hold getting constant 50+ gusts, sustained 40mph. Rough Saturday to have wind with foliage guests starting to roll in.

When the clouds lifted there was some leftover frosted tips up on the hills.