powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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There was an earlier ICON run that clipped Methuen and Ray’s area hard while leaving all the rest of SNE out of it… and I was thinking that’s like Ray’s wet dream. Something that spins back and dumps on him while 25 miles SW is smoking cirrus.
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Hard to out-forecast pessimism for sure.
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Apparently this guy was hit by a car on Mountain Road not far from me in Stowe. 575 pounds. That’s like a zoo animal. Some big guys wandering around this summer.
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46F. Great sleeping weather. SLK at 37-38F.
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Fake cooling in effect. SLK @ 46F for 11pm.
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Seems like a cold season synoptic approach to modeling. We know there are wild run-to-run swings in the deterministic models so the next best utilization are the ensembles. The hedge is somewhere in the middle between nothing and 2-5”. Even a widespread synoptic soaking of 0.50-0.75” is highly beneficial.
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Every. Single. Poster. in SNE is drooling over the lawn. That's a true NNE summer vibe there. Right on man.
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Ok yeah that’s what I always thought. I hate seeing those strong convective lines angled SW to NE through the Ohio Valley and into Mid-Atlantic in winter storms while QPF gets trimmed every run lol. In my head I always thought the more N-S oriented the “better.” Maybe not fully knowing why but don’t like anything /…. this vertical | or \ please lol.
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I should delete my last reply to Kev lol. Fires will still be burning.
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Doesn’t really look like a convection robbing moisture synoptic set up does it? The SE to E deep layer flow… usually convection disrupting moisture transport seems more like SW to S flow or am I making that up?
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Thread reads like some folks are trusting the latest model guidance over their own internal fears or hopes. Models were what they were. In winter if you had Euro/GFS, would you be tossing them to ride the GGEM? Aside from Stein tea-bagging you for three months, is there a lot of modeled reasons to go with straight miss? 84 hour NAM looks like it would hit too.
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I want to see this version of DIT in December. Caution flags being thrown left and right on every modeled snower.
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That would get the job done in SNE.
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Their calling card is the sturdy, flat armrests that are perfect for resting beverages on.
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That’s the shot. Sick.
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Mother Nature has a sense of humor… or maybe it’s NCEP that does.
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Imagine not having water for your family to drink, cook with, bathe with, flush toilets, etc all because you wanted to look at green grass. That would be a tough spot to be in. Responsible decision to let the lawn go.
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Today it hit me too. I think it’s the cloud cover, cooler temps and mostly the sunlight. I love May/June/July for the daylight. My body responds more to that time frame mentally, no matter what my weather desires are. I also love May because you know you’ve got months of high-end daylight. If it wasn’t for skiing, I’m not sure how I’d do winters these days. The darkness, dreary days, etc. It hits me differently in my mid-30s vs when I was in college, ha. At least skiing keeps me sane.
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30 degrees lower where I am right now lol. The wide range of weather in New England, something for everyone…. except rain I guess.
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Lot of hikers today on the hill, one of the busier ones in a while. Great weather for staying cool doing non-water activities. But yeah, it’s September air while @kdxken’s 84/40s sounds about perfect.
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64F at 3:30pm at 1500ft base of the mountain. MVL at 66F at 750ft. Picnic tables 49-51F all afternoon. Fall vibes. Afternoon temps being below most of last week’s dew points .
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August is bonkers in VT. I’d assume it’s every tourist place from mountains to beach. August is like the week-long family vacation time it seems before going back to school.
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63/52 at 10:30am. Like a breath of fresh air that actually feels fresh outside. Doesn’t feel like you are breathing through a wet towel.
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48/46 Lets goooo.
