powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Tick tick. I thought it went more NW with the SFC . Love the nitpicking we do. 12z then 18z… 12z missed the Cape all together. -
Low got stronger and even ticked north from 12z, tracking over the Cape Cod bridge, and the result seemed to be a bit more compact and cold on the north side. Probably the hope is to get it as strong/dynamic as possible for those borderline thermals?
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18z Euro goes bonkers with the mid-level fronto forcing in S/C VT on NE.
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Feels like being a child again lol. You know the power of snow… makes men drive hours and hole up in shady motels in the middle of nowhere just for the taste. It’s a sickness.
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Finally some legit -SN in town. Good sized flakes. First of the season.
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First legit snow shower in Stowe Village of the season. Always makes you feel like a kid seeing it in your backyard that first time.
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She’s 7.5 now, got a reconstructed knee this summer and back to 100%.
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She likes this duff .
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There it is. 2500ft all flakes.
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Went over to frozen just now around 2200ft. We’ll see higher up.
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Yup that’s exactly what I’ve been thinking. If there was more cold or a bit more resistance, this no doubt would lean SE… but the air is rather marginal so it’s hard to say it can’t amplify a bit more into the warmth.
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Leads to big fake cold afterward
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Yeah trends are good at this point. Some of the longer range models had this as a rainer so probably some chance for it to amp up. GGEM was pretty similar to NAM/ECM. Worth watching for sure.
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12z NAM is all jacked up on Wednesday. 6z EURO was looking nice too, not quite as amped.
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Now we all know that you can survive without heavy jackets if the temp drops below 65F in the summer.
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I like the Bretton Woods area to be honest... models are showing it but I think the setup fits. Diane and Alex, on the WNW slope of MWN and the local topography. Elevations of 1,500ft as the valley floor in the basin to the NW of the Presidentials. That is the snow zone in the next 5 days to be honest. The low level NW winds, underneath moisture advection from the south, east, northeast. Upslope flow and CAA, while synoptic moisture is present aloft... it should snow in that zone.
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Oh interesting, I didn't see many runs (even long range) bringing synoptic snows down south of the Pike but I definitely might have missed them. I thought they had some flakes but nothing that some squalls couldn't accomplish either.
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Still definitely can. Just need some squall or snow shower to pop up or more through. Can whiten up the grass and mulch beds for a decent SHSN.
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18z Euro is a bit less amped at the end of the run. Might start as a brief period of snow in “interior” SNE? Looks like Pike north best shot based on 925mb as precip moves in.
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Holy shit.
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Dog got a roll in one of the remaining Stowe “piles”… about 8” of water logged frozen matter masquerading as snow, each one occupying about the floor space of a two-car garage . It’s sort of a bizarre scene if you didn’t know about snowmaking. Just these equally spaced small areas of snow dotting their way down the trail and surrounded by grass.
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It’s a start. Wednesday Snow and rain likely. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Wednesday Night Snow likely. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of snow 60 percent.
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Might be less marginal for CNE to NNE. Definitely a chance for first widespread snow of the season.
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Could get some elevation snows going tomorrow afternoon/evening?
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I’m en route with the dog lol. There we’re a few patches I could see on North Slope but effectively nothing. The other night’s strategic objective was stress test and training (had a crew of 15 out there, ha)… look for problems to fix in this warmth. But system handled 75+ guns fine and new guys got some good knowledge. They are ready to go tomorrow night. Snowmaking is very well staffed after last years’ issues. That made me feel all warm and fuzzy.
