powderfreak

Well, Jay reported that as 6-10” of new snow overnight, so I’m not really sure what to say. And honestly none of it was of the “heavy sticks to trees” variety… really wondering if the person who writes this is anywhere near the hill. Snowvember Strikes Again The mountain’s wearing white again, and we’re not mad about it. We woke up to another healthy blast of natural snow, close to 10 inches up top and about 6 inches at the base from this latest round, and the flakes haven’t finished falling yet. It’s that good, heavy kind too, the stuff that sticks to the trees and makes you start thinking about calling in “sick” on opening day.

Only 1-1.5” at home today. 4” on the ground.

Classic upslope. Big fluffy flakes mixed with rimed graupel lol.

Been snowing hard for a while but windy and hard to really tell if it’s accumulating much. Kind of funny, visibility has been under 1/2 mile or even 1/4 mile for a while (can’t see across Over Easy) but it just seems a bit too windy to really tell or stack. Its like whiteout snows but doesn’t necessarily seem to be verifying ground truth… though it has to be ending up somewhere.

I feel like if Kevin sees that he might come up to your house to clean it up.

lol, GFS and upslope. Over-done but just a steady stream of mountain snow through Friday in various waves.

It’s crazy, the mountains didn’t seem to get into the mid-level banding as much. I had 3” in my yard and 2” at all elevations of the mountain. Everyone showed up from BTV and valley to skin and ski and found 2-3” of wind-blown snow on dirt up to about 2,500ft at Stowe. Parking lot was full. Which still surprises me people get caught off guard with so many live cams. Heard it was similar at Jay Peak and their web cams seemed to look like Stowe’s mower half trails… just 2-3 inches of wind-swept on top of dirt. While the Champlain Valley is caked.. Even Smuggs looked a bit better on west side but seemed like 3-4” west slopes instead of 2-3” east slopes. Maybe Bolton got lit up a bit better? But overall looked like the synoptic round missed the Spine with a lake jackpot.

Yeah, blocked early then becomes unblocked later today.

Might make a run at 3” here? Still snowing nicely. Love the squeak under foot of fresh snow.

Yeah I’m seeing some spot reports around 6” now in the Champlain Valley. Snowing steadily here. Over 2” now, grass is covered up, so it looks nice. Funny how hard 3/4sm -SN seems when you haven’t seen it in a while. Feels like +SN to an uncalibrated mind early season. KMVL 110154Z AUTO 36007KT 3/4SM -SN BR VV009 M01/M03

All joking aside, it’s been a tough series of winter breaks down there. Need a few late blooming Miller B’s to CCB Essex County on the way out this winter. Feels like that used to happen with frequency in the 2000s and 2010s.

Looking at the thread and saw Ray replied, and my first thought was, of course it’ll be the first BTV snowfall that brings him back to the thread …

The slot is here into eastern VT with lighter, showery snows. But should fill in a bit again.

Guess it’s splitting hairs but it’s already curling back into BTV. Don’t really see a slot there being an issue. Looks like it’ll fill in with that stuff by GFL and ALB still to rotate through.

lol the highest reports are 4-4.5” in BTV and PBG. NW of there it’s 2.5-3.5” reports coming in. I bet BTV and Plattsburgh will be near tops of the list.

Not doing that over here… closing in on an inch on colder elevated surfaces. Still a nice snowy evening in the village.

With that said, HRRR dreams aside this radar is mid-level banding Champlain Valley delight. I’m hearing I-89 from BTV north and I-87 in NY are horrendous almost whiteout 1-2”/hr within the band.

Just flipped here and hammering suddenly. BTV has a couple inches down. HRRR says we rip 6-10pm. If we can do a few hours averaging 0.1” SWE in snow, I won’t complain.

I think it's blocked and the trajectory of the precip moving almost due north. Probably helps to have a strong thermal gradient in there too as the cold can come into the Champlain Valley and west slopes unmitigated (it's already cooling down near freezing in the Champlain Valley). It takes a bit more for that low level cold to cross the barrier, so likely more mixed or non-snow precip to start. ECMWF and ICON are definitely a bit further east with the precipitation, but I think synoptically it would make sense for the western slopes or even Champlain Valley to wring out the moisture better. A lot of low level fog and mist around right now, feels like the low levels are juiced. Seeder feeder with mid-level lift and then low level orographic juice too. I will say it is inverted at the ski area right now. 36F at 3,600ft 38F at 2,600ft 32F at 1,500ft

Yeah, I'm skeptical of those QPF amounts but we'll see. If it verifies, thunder would fit. It's hard to rip out that much QPF in like 4 hours of fast moving lift in a colder air mass. It's like 4-8pm or 5-9pm and done.

Snowy week for the mountains. Pretty much high POPs every day.

Pretty significant changes in 12 hours for the Champlain Valley to west slopes this evening.

Ahh was that was it was, I thought it was the Tuesday set-up. Tuesday has looked upslope driven. But this evening never truly got me jazzed until the 12z+ models have all changed fairly significantly. I had seen a bunch of runs with more of a diffuse 1-4" event further north. Like 12z HRRR. HRRR has made a big change in the past like 4 hours.

Not like that. Its been hit or miss on a few runs but most of it was prior to the cold air.

This is coming out of no where all the sudden. Most models have a decent snow event in the CPV… this is positive snow depth: