powderfreak

With that said, HRRR dreams aside this radar is mid-level banding Champlain Valley delight. I’m hearing I-89 from BTV north and I-87 in NY are horrendous almost whiteout 1-2”/hr within the band.

Just flipped here and hammering suddenly. BTV has a couple inches down. HRRR says we rip 6-10pm. If we can do a few hours averaging 0.1” SWE in snow, I won’t complain.

I think it's blocked and the trajectory of the precip moving almost due north. Probably helps to have a strong thermal gradient in there too as the cold can come into the Champlain Valley and west slopes unmitigated (it's already cooling down near freezing in the Champlain Valley). It takes a bit more for that low level cold to cross the barrier, so likely more mixed or non-snow precip to start. ECMWF and ICON are definitely a bit further east with the precipitation, but I think synoptically it would make sense for the western slopes or even Champlain Valley to wring out the moisture better. A lot of low level fog and mist around right now, feels like the low levels are juiced. Seeder feeder with mid-level lift and then low level orographic juice too. I will say it is inverted at the ski area right now. 36F at 3,600ft 38F at 2,600ft 32F at 1,500ft

Yeah, I'm skeptical of those QPF amounts but we'll see. If it verifies, thunder would fit. It's hard to rip out that much QPF in like 4 hours of fast moving lift in a colder air mass. It's like 4-8pm or 5-9pm and done.

Snowy week for the mountains. Pretty much high POPs every day.

Pretty significant changes in 12 hours for the Champlain Valley to west slopes this evening.

Ahh was that was it was, I thought it was the Tuesday set-up. Tuesday has looked upslope driven. But this evening never truly got me jazzed until the 12z+ models have all changed fairly significantly. I had seen a bunch of runs with more of a diffuse 1-4" event further north. Like 12z HRRR. HRRR has made a big change in the past like 4 hours.

Not like that. Its been hit or miss on a few runs but most of it was prior to the cold air.

This is coming out of no where all the sudden. Most models have a decent snow event in the CPV… this is positive snow depth:

Ray’s nightmare.

Ha, high of 36F here with a slushy coating still on the ground on colder surfaces.

I was thinking that… that’s a huge area of 12”+ for a mesoscale style event.

Silver dollar aggregates.

That’s pretty impressive.

The only storm you’re gonna find 18”+ around BOS and BTV both.

Fresh dusting of white outside this morning.

I guess, but it’s like 5 seconds…

Twitter is not that hard… I post them all the time just fine on here. Just change the X.com to Twitter.com and paste it and it’ll embed. We see every single Twitter post from Margarbage on here just fine lol.

December 2003

Any terrain has gotten plastered over the past week. Anything above 1500ft is very white. The river valleys are not white. It’s that time of year.

46/43. Solidly in the warm-sector after one of the coldest mornings. Life comes at you fast, all the sudden dew points in the 40s are noteworthy. It’s been awhile.

If you squint, you can almost see the CO emissions…

You gotta buy a snowmobile for SLK.

Oh I agree. Tippy’s posts are what’s wrong with the discussion for sure. And exactly why we apparently cannot talk about temperature trends on a weather forum. That exchange was exactly why we can’t have nice things anymore. Like I said, Men in Black pens, erase everyone’s memories of ties to politics with temperatures trends and I bet we would all have a much better, sound, respectful dialogue.

It shouldn’t be political to talk about temperature trends on a weather forum. That’s what saddens me. This stuff should be able to be discussed with science. It’s not like this is a board for antique cars that got off-track lol. Like we talk about so much random BS off-topic stuff but folks get uncomfortable about long term temperature trends..