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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. nj2va
    I was just about to say that we can't deny that we just keep punting threat windows and can't seem to get legit threats within 10 days. Delayed usually means denied around here but its hard for me to wrap my head around we don't at least get a warning event with that type of -NAO/50-50 look. If we don't score, then all bets are off the table with what it takes to get snow around here.
  2. nj2va
    It was gorgeous watching it in my rearview mirror as I was on 70 W heading to Deep Creek. Just got here...31 degrees and still basically have full snow cover which was surprising given the lack of fresh snow here over the last 2 weeks basically.
  3. nj2va
    Just wait til we’re staring down our region-wide 2’ HECS in early February and we’re able to see the pretty snow totals over us each hour.
  4. nj2va
    Yup. Also nice that I have Vrana on my fantasy team.
  5. nj2va
    HRRR also did really well (at least in Deep Creek) with the December storm. In other upslope events, has done well too this winter. I can’t comment on the long range HRRR though.
  6. nj2va
    That could easily be a MR adjustment that ‘sneaks’ up on us.
  7. nj2va
    Our top line is showing up tonight! Backstrom with a goal, Oshie with a goal, Ovi with 2 assists, and Carlson with an assist.
  8. nj2va
    Anyone see any data recently on SST/Nina strength? DT posted something about a month ago showing some models predicting a mod Nina vs strong...hard to predict the outcomes of that but could help us in late winter. I can't remember where he pulled that from or else I'd go try to find it.
  9. nj2va
    I want your job! AND GO CAPS!!! @Chris78 @ravensrule
  10. nj2va
    Not sure if this belongs here or in the storm thread but 3k NAM again with some snow showers/bursts across the area Saturday afternoon/night.
  11. nj2va
    We used to say DC is the new Richmond. we've skipped that and we're the new Atlanta.
  12. nj2va
    LFG. The 28th storm is looking good so far. Nice H pressing down from Canada. Solid confluence. Big area of precip over TX blossoming. Oof, looks like it'll be OTS..
  13. nj2va
    The 28th storm is looking good so far. Nice H pressing down from Canada. Solid confluence. Big area of precip over TX blossoming.
  14. nj2va
    So much blocking....so much rain. Not something I thought I'd say in one sentence.
  15. nj2va
    I still think Saturday (outside the mountains) could surprise some with snow TV. It's something at least.
  16. nj2va
    mood swings galore
  17. nj2va
    Negativity spreads like wildfire around here and things are already smoldering this morning. If early 12z runs don’t show blue, it will be a straight up dumpster fire in every single thread.
  18. nj2va
    Poor Ji if Isotherm is correct
  19. nj2va
    Few runs now that GFS has been keying into the 28/29...big ones are sniffed out early yadda yadda.
  20. nj2va
    Super close to all snow. Happy to see a threat.
  21. nj2va
    If anything, won’t be all rain verbatim at least.
  22. nj2va
    @ravensrule ...master at pointing out dirty jokes
  23. nj2va
    Great catch and thanks for the explanation. And its a legit west/Baffin block too on guidance. I’ll take my chances with that any winter especially with a 50/50 that seems fairly persistent too.
  24. nj2va
    Oh, sorry I was talking about the mid-Atlantic scoring. You’re too far north as the blocking will just push all the blizzards straight into this area. There’s always next year for you!!!
  25. nj2va
    Yep, if this was a one week blip at a -NAO, it’s one thing....but the fact that it seems to persist and linger makes me bullish we score eventually. And if we don’t, we’re fooked and should just accept the fact that it’ll never snow in the cities/SE again.
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