nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Mesoscale’d https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1852.html
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Hope you get crushed there. Enjoy it!
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The good news to those east of here is that you won’t waste hours on virga . Once actual returns got over me, I went from flurries to light snow pretty quickly.
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A bit of a cad wedge poking down through central VA.
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That sounds like a lot of people here.
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21/18 with flurries. Monday’s snow has compacted to about 2” OTG here.
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Just got to McHenry. First flakes. Lets go!
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Ask @mattie g what his call is for Harrisburg, PA. I’m sure he has a prediction.
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Can’t wait to get out there in the morning...enjoy the storm! I’ll see you on the mountain on Thursday — I’ll be the 35 yo who sucks at skiing and is getting passed by 10 yos doing tricks on their snowboards.
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21/17 in McHenry. I actually wouldn’t be surprised if some sleet mixes in with snow tomorrow afternoon in McHenry...Euro/3k are both close to doing that but verbatim stay all snow. Final call is 12-18”. Upslope snow showers could add another 1” or so Thursday/Friday. This has a good shot at being the biggest storm I’ve seen out there since we bought the house 4 years ago. I’d wager the bullseye in the mid-Atlantic is likely going to be somewhere between Frostburg and Hancock into the WV panhandle.
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Aren’t we doing obs in the other thread? Title reflects that.
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That’s a good map, might need to bump the 1” line NW closer to SE DC but nice job overall. Enjoy the storm.
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It’s beautiful in the snow. And so many good hiking trails to enjoy in the days after or if you cross country ski, you can do that too. Models are keying in some upslope snow showers to take on an extra inch or two Thursday/Friday.
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I’d stay where you are since you’ll do well too. No idea. I’m heading up there at 5a tomorrow for the storm. I’ll let you know. But they got about 5-6” from Monday’s storm.
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22/19 in McHenry. and here in Arlington, enough brine to keep the roads clear from a 3 foot storm.
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Yeah, they need to update that. Didn’t realize how quick onset is starting to show up on recent guidance.
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Here is LWX's latest thinking on start time...wouldn't be surprised if actual start time is on the earlier end of these. WAA generally come in quicker than forecast.
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For goodness sakes...are we all adults or 8 year olds? Whatever happened to showing respect...
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That's a great sounding....even if you flirt with/mix with sleet for a bit, check out those omegas.
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Our place is less than 5 minutes from them in McHenry....they’ve got a solid beer selection on tap.
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You got the right idea! Glad you’re heading out....cheers to a good storm there.
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3k is almost identical to the Euro out here. 1.6” QPF, all snow - Kuchera with 20-22”. Some models have the banding extending down from PA into western MD...hope that happens.
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HRRR (still out of its wheelhouse) gets DPs across the 81 corridor into the low/mid 20s. We’ll see how that trends as we get closer to game time. I’m pretty excited about the Euro for the western areas...it’s been the best look so far out here. Almost 1.6” QPF, all snow. Hope it holds for us.
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Currently 25/19 in McHenry....leaving Arlington at 5a tomorrow to get out there for the storm.
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It looks like the low tracks west of the Bay through the Northern Neck to just east of Baltimore over the Bay. by tomorrow, it’ll be over Fairfax.
