Currently 41 and snowpack is taking a beating today - temp rose 10 degrees overnight in a span of 2 hours. Hoping to pick up an inch tonight as temps drop this afternoon.
Thanks for showing this comparison. Weaker low + stronger high showing up in more frozen precip here. If that stupid Bermuda High could move further east or weaken, this could be a legit event for some.
CMC keeps me frozen for the duration of the storm (sleet to start then freezing rain). Too bad CMC is a terrible model. I do think it bears watching for the far N&W areas for some frozen to start before flipping to rain.
Also EPS has a signal at that timeframe for a low in the east at the end of its run based on the MSLP anomaly maps - haven’t looked into the individual plots but seems like a decent signal just based on this map. Perhaps we can get the PNA to flex at the right time.
What could go wrong? Let’s see what the GEFS says but you could see the evolution just on H5 and it was screaming east coast threat. The closed 500 low north of MN was atypical for this area to see snow (I think) but DC got digital snow so who cares!