nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Yeah, meh-tacular. <Ji> we can never have two EPS runs in a row showing great stuff <Ji> There is a slight signal on the 00z EPS for a possible LP off the coast around the 20th that deepens and heads NE. Something to watch.
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Heinicke was impressive...showed a lot of grit especially coming back out after being injured.
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Ha, I was about to post the same thing (and tag you since I know your love of snowfall maps). Even though 6z backed off a touch, what I liked is that the mean south of us increased from 00z which to me probably means some southern solutions mixed in which I like seeing at range. We’ve talked ad nauseum of this conducive pattern for what feels like 6 months now so it’s nice to see the ensembles picking up snowier surface solutions from the favorable H5 look.
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Both MIA.
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Does Washington have pass defense? Goodness.
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Wow, what a play by Heinicke there to get the TD.
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Glad to see the Bills win.
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Long review. Should be a fumble.
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Already 5:12 in Deep Creek.
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Seats felt warm when I got in the car today. Step 1 to sun angle season.
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Yup. Made no sense. I wonder if the doink missed FG comes back to make the difference..
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This Bills/Colts game is shaping up for a great ending.
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As a visual kinda guy, these posts where you mark up the maps is really helpful to look for things I don’t even know to look for sometimes. Appreciate the time you put into stuff like this.
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Looping the 12z GEFS precip type maps across the members showing lots of opportunities (hint: blue) across the area beginning around the 18th or so. I think it would bring another smile to @CAPE’s face, per his comment this morning.
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It’s really not that big of a deal to have one thread - my issue is more when we get closer to an event. Its gotten so absurd with ‘omg, don’t start a thread for a storm because we’ll jinx it’ that when we do get a threat within 4 days, we’re still trigger shy so the LR thread becomes a discussion about SSWE, teleconnections, 96 hour storms, etc. That gets too much.
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The powers to be have spoken on that lol
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Just so I’m following...are we looking past the pattern change that gets us into a great look in the MR to now looking at the 2nd pattern change that is the unmitigated disaster in the LR? I forgot why I hated LR pattern tracking.
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I was drinking my coffee and scrolling through and thinking “wow, maybe it’ll be a positive day in here” after seeing CAPE’s comments. Then I got to the “unmitigated disaster” part and laughed.
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It was sad just watching the last new Jeopardy episode that Alex Trebek taped as the host. What a legend he was. RIP.
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If you didn’t live there, I’d be pissed that your area was getting more snow than DC. Enjoy the storm!
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GEFS says temper your expectations for snow through the next 9-10 days outside the mountains. While a threat could pop up in the short/medium range and/or next week trends back into a minor event, today’s guidance has been pointing to the more favorable period many here have talked about for increased snow chances. It sucks, but it is what it is. If the strong ULL works out over MLK weekend, I’d suggest people chase to the mountains of MD/WV and get your dose of snow. Good for the psyche.
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It would be best for some on here's mental health if they just step away from the LR thread for the next 8 days. I imagine its going to get ugly (or -ier) in there, fast.
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The only thing about that 500 map that I missed picking up on from the 6z version is I wonder if that suggests a Miller B pattern given the deepest 500 anomalies are centered north of our latitude. @CAPE - would we want those focused a bit further south?
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If you like SE snow, GFS says 'look at me D12!'
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at times a whole page of a thread is just quotes of long posts and images, lol
