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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. nj2va
    I don't really care about temps at this point (when they are that borderline). We can't even keep a storm from getting shredded lately so I'd rather see a potent system/moisture and worry about borderline temps closer in when models pick up on thermals more accurately.
  2. nj2va
    Hopefully its cookin' up something good for us. see what I did there?
  3. nj2va
    Less than 1.5” snow mean on the GEFS through the next 13 days doesn’t inspire much confidence for winter weather. Ha, ninja’d by PSU.
  4. nj2va
    Yes, agree we both know thats not how it'll turn out at the surface with a verbatim 500 like that but comical to see the ways we fail on the OP GFS. Para GFS looking way more realistic in its surface depiction IMO. 1054 H pressing down preventing it from cutting (eta: or maybe not lol)
  5. nj2va
    Cuts to Chicago
  6. nj2va
    Yup, I hear you on that. I used to want to threats get inside 5 days....at this point, I'd be happy to see it get within 10. Still think we'll score but isn't this hobby fun?!
  7. nj2va
    GFS has a low in TN next Friday with rain all the way to Buffalo. Just no cold air which continues to be a theme this winter as that could be a great WAA event... eventually turns into a hybrid miller b.
  8. nj2va
    Your tiny violin should be arriving this morning via Fedex....your welcome.
  9. nj2va
    That was a great storm...I remember 48 hours in, it kept trending better and better for DC. Something like 24+ hours of snow...I don’t remember my exact total but somewhere near a foot I think.
  10. nj2va
    GFS has some snow showers next Monday in the region with the NS disturbance swinging through the NE. Mountains pick up 9”+ through MLK Day from the cold front, upslope, and the NS disturbance. Great timing for the holiday weekend and hope its right as I’ll be back in Deep Creek on Friday.
  11. nj2va
    I’m looking forward to your 5 minutes of snow TV so you can rub it in CAPE’s face you were right.
  12. nj2va
    NAM’d
  13. nj2va
    That’s a lot of scrolling through blue
  14. nj2va
    BAMWX is overrated, as is Twitter.
  15. nj2va
    I'll let someone way smarter than me confirm, but wouldn't you expect a 50/50 low and western ridge to show stronger on an ensemble mean than a random azz gulf low 15 days out?
  16. nj2va
    Dude, its a smoothed 324H mean. It's not going to show a parade of 982 LPs riding along the coast. I'll take my chances with a 50/50, blocking, and lower anomaly pressures in the heart of climo any day. The constant search for a PERFECT pattern is tiring and a waste of time.
  17. nj2va
    Yeah, I think snow TV/mix is in the cards for N&W of 95.
  18. nj2va
    For folks who like snowfall maps, 6z GEFS is most bullish of the season (outside the lead up to the December event). 6” line is just east of Dulles.
  19. nj2va
    The weenie in me says GEFS caught onto the gung ho block first then the others picked up on it this week. Itshappening.
  20. nj2va
    GFS has energy in the SW at 180....if we could get it to eject (and of course not get shredded).
  21. nj2va
    At this rate, would be nice to get some snow in the Beltway, even if light.
  22. nj2va
    My Cousin Vinny is on Paramount network. Such a great movie.
  23. nj2va
    Whooooosh. And it went over my head...
  24. nj2va
    Yes, that’s a full on west-based/Baffin block. And its trapping a piece of the PV under the block.
  25. nj2va
    Meh, bootleg
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