nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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It’s deceptive. The center is the dot below the L. So it’s due south of OBX and based on the height lines heading NE or NNE depending on the next few frames.
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GFS on its own right now for 00z. Red flag for any model.
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Good luck to the forecasters along the coast and especially north of us.
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Yep the separation/less phasing clearly evident. Certainly doesn’t look like the NAM at h5
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More separation in the streams at H24
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Take us home with the GFS.
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Who had convective feedback on their 0z bingo board?
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ALEET ALEET The ICON is a trash model and shouldn’t be looked at.
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I thought we were analyzing the DGEX this whole time!
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Yeah, undermodeled as is the orographic lift, I’ve noticed. I don’t think this is an ideal upslope scenario though with the position of that LP being that offshore and heading ENE. There’s a good deal of energy on the backside of the trough swinging through so that’s the wildcard. Will definitely get enhancement from upslope but don’t think it’ll be huge. I could be wrong though.
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Oh, just your run of the mill 18” snowstorm at OBX. Oh, NAM.
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That’s a pretty darn good run IMO. 2-5” on the table for DC. I’d like to see NAM increase QPF totals in Deep Creek, selfishly
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I love the consistency!
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Taking it back to 2010 days with the IWM lol
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Google said this: Operation Brasstacks - Wikipedia
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But the Euro has the NAM on its side...what could go wrong?
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All this time I actually thought it was brass tax. Learn something new every day...
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Heading out there this weekend...unfortunately won't be quite the same as MLK weekend but should some decent snow, cold, and good skiing conditions!
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I didn't even see whatever happened but just move on. Life's too short.
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Where are you hearing that? Didn't CAPE post a tweet a few pages back saying the opposite based on RAOB data?
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Yeah, of course a foot+ would be better but for me, I'm being realistic and not caring what north/south/east/west is getting.
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shrug...I liked the GFS. Lines up with a pretty 2-4" with cold afterwards. It'd put MBY over climo for the winter.
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@WxUSAF mentioned that earlier. It seems like our goal posts are narrowing around here but look at the variances near NYC/Coastal NJ. Fun forecasting for the mets up there!
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The 6z Euro dropped 40” on my parents house in coastal NJ, lol. That’s pretty crazy.
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We’re gaining almost 2 minutes of sunlight/day - big fan of that.
