nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Oh, just your run of the mill 18” snowstorm at OBX. Oh, NAM.
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That’s a pretty darn good run IMO. 2-5” on the table for DC. I’d like to see NAM increase QPF totals in Deep Creek, selfishly
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I love the consistency!
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Taking it back to 2010 days with the IWM lol
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Google said this: Operation Brasstacks - Wikipedia
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But the Euro has the NAM on its side...what could go wrong?
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All this time I actually thought it was brass tax. Learn something new every day...
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Heading out there this weekend...unfortunately won't be quite the same as MLK weekend but should some decent snow, cold, and good skiing conditions!
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I didn't even see whatever happened but just move on. Life's too short.
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Where are you hearing that? Didn't CAPE post a tweet a few pages back saying the opposite based on RAOB data?
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Yeah, of course a foot+ would be better but for me, I'm being realistic and not caring what north/south/east/west is getting.
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shrug...I liked the GFS. Lines up with a pretty 2-4" with cold afterwards. It'd put MBY over climo for the winter.
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@WxUSAF mentioned that earlier. It seems like our goal posts are narrowing around here but look at the variances near NYC/Coastal NJ. Fun forecasting for the mets up there!
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The 6z Euro dropped 40” on my parents house in coastal NJ, lol. That’s pretty crazy.
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We’re gaining almost 2 minutes of sunlight/day - big fan of that.
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You got like 7” on the 6z Euro.
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I’d take this and run.
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Through h83 on the 6z Euro, the 0.5” QPF line is inching towards 95 on the eastern side of the Beltway.
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It seems like the general 1-4” that has been consistently showing up on the models the last several days (ignoring ICON ofc) is coming into focus as we get under 72H. The Eastern Shore of MD and DE look to be the bullseye where 4-8”+ is becoming more likely. We’re within 48 hours from first flakes in western MD (and 60 hours for most of the area) so the finer details of amounts/etc will start getting worked out.
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Assume the 1-3/2-4 solutions will be reality. Easier to keep the expectations in check.
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I’d take that and run IMO.
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2-4” for most on the GFS. More out west and on the ES.
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It’s got the Friday HH snow. Breaks out early Friday morning in the far western areas. Friday afternoon/evening for most of the area.
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FYP
