nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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RIC is over 2” of QPF storm total. DC 1.5”
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Looks like DC flips to sleet Sunday late morning/early afternoon with a warm nose at 700. But my goodness, what a thump before that. 1.2” or so of QPF in DC before that.
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It’s all about expectations. 20”+ storms here aren’t common. But a nice 6-10”+ storm? Sweet.
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Yeah, time to back outta the storm thread. Just useless worrying about the CMC. Even if it’s right, it’s like 6-12” of snow followed by a sleet bomb. This thing isn’t amping enough where we’re looking at no snow - sorry, its just not happening.
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Oh get ready for the freak outs about amped / sleet in the storm thread.
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“Conservative” 10:1 map from CMC. This far out, all these various scenarios still are showing our best chance at a 6”+ threat region wide. Love that.
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It’s up past Baltimore - Winchester for a time
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CMC is definitely quicker than GFS. Snow breaking out Saturday evening.
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Feels weird there’s not a low in the Great Lakes fooking up our thermals. This is money.
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Geez 1.3” of QPF on ICON. The fetch off the Gulf on the 700RH map is awesome too.
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Awesome! Good to have another Alexandrian there.
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It’s a terrible model but whatever, NAM at 84H is eye candy. Don’t ban me @CAPE
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We’re thinking Succotash in DC on Thursday…I’ve got an appointment at 430 so I’ll be there around 6 but @NorthArlington101 can get there earlier if you guys (and anyone else) are down.
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I can’t put JMA in the storm thread so putting it in banter. Cold smoke…for the amped worriers, NOT amped.
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We are going down a rabbit hole about mixing. It’s a IMBY sport and the folks rooting for a super amped solution are in Southern PA so take those posts with a grain of salt. We are staring down our largest region wide event in a long time.
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Looks like we’ve reached the storm phase where we’re both worried about suppression AND amped.
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Latest WPC from this afternoon 80% contour through DC for at least a moderate storm. On the WPC site, DC is in the 60% contours for a major event.
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First time for the storm seeing a foot show up on the mean. Northern extent went north too which is nice to see a large swath of 6”+ - not sweating a 50 mile swath of a narrow band.
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Yep, I’m in. I work in Arlington but easy to metro into the city if want something there or stay along orange line in Arlington if easier.
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Got down to -2! Kinda surprised it got that low.
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This storm may delay your next move next week
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Thanks to @NorthArlington101 for the link https://www.weather.gov/lwx/wintermaps Days 3-7 Threat
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Not everyday we see a high in the low 20s with snow likely. Sunday Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 22. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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My productivity at work is about to be negative 100 this week
