If that carries eastward, it would remove the lone model that’s really punching the mid level warmth way quicker/north than others. I know I’ll flip but a few extra hours will make a big difference.
Honestly, I’ve been so busy at work I haven’t paid much attention during the day. A quick look vs 18z and the flip was a touch later than 18z. I honestly don’t really put much confidence in UK thermals but a nice data point for the better lol
If both NAMs are stubbornly showing that earlier flip than Euro/others tomorrow, I’ll definitely start to take it more seriously. I also want to check tomorrow morning how NAM has done in the south with the storm.
Yeah it was a touch better for us. At this point, I don’t think we’re going to see huge changes but 25-50 miles or 1-2 extra hours before sleet can mean 2-4” more of snow.