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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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It looks like a nice soaking rain is on the way to the area from tonight through Saturday. This will continue to erode any remaining drought concerns for the area. Most spots should see between 1.0" to 2.0" of rain. We have continued to see below normal temperatures so far this month and this will continue through the weekend. In fact, many spots will stay in the 40's for high temperatures through Saturday. We look to briefly get back above normal early next week before we yet again fall to below normal levels by midweek.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
It looks like a nice soaking rain is on the way to the area from tonight through Saturday. This will continue to erode any remaining drought concerns for the area. Most spots should see between 1.0" to 2.0" of rain. We have continued to see below normal temperatures so far this month and this will continue through the weekend. In fact, many spots will stay in the 40's for high temperatures through Saturday. We look to briefly get back above normal early next week before we yet again fall to below normal levels by midweek. -
This morning was the coldest April morning here in East Nantmeal 25.8 and across much of the area in a little over 9 years since the 24.5-degree low back on April 6, 2016. We will continue with below normal temperatures for the rest of the week before we warm near or above normal by early next week. Some beneficial rain is on the way to closing out the work week with rain arriving late tomorrow and lasting until Saturday. We could see over an inch of rain is many spots.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
This morning was the coldest April morning here in East Nantmeal 25.8 and across much of the area in a little over 9 years since the 24.5-degree low back on April 6, 2016. We will continue with below normal temperatures for the rest of the week before we warm near or above normal by early next week. Some beneficial rain is on the way to closing out the work week with rain arriving late tomorrow and lasting until Saturday. We could see over an inch of rain is many spots. -
Let's look at just West Chester. With the altered data NCEI does try to show clear warming. However, yet again (like Coatesville) NCEI chose to chill each and every year at West Chester for 103 straight years from 1880 thru 1982. So why did NCEI choose yet another station to chill to a level below any actual real observation in the county? Without that chilling West Chester shows almost no warming at all! Facts always win out!
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This morning was our first sub-freezing morning since April 2nd and our coldest morning since the 27.9 on March 27th. Behind the early morning cold front today's temperatures will be almost 20 degrees below normal for April with highs struggling to reach the lower 40's across the higher spots. The good news is we will see our first couple dry days in more than a week. A hard freeze will occur tonight with temperatures falling below freezing before 10pm tonight and lasting till around 9am tomorrow morning. So be sure to cover up or take in your sensitive plants. Tonight, will be our coldest April night since back on April 3, 2021 when the low was 26.3. We have an outside chance to reach our coldest April levels in almost 10 years if we fall to lower than the 24.5 degree low back on April 6, 2016. The below normal temperatures will continue all week with temperatures finally returning to near normal by early next week. Rain chances to ramp up again by Thursday afternoon and could last through much of Saturday. Current models have some significant rain amounts with between 1.25" and 2.00" of rain that could continue to ease any drought concerns.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
This morning was our first sub-freezing morning since April 2nd and our coldest morning since the 27.9 on March 27th. Behind the early morning cold front today's temperatures will be almost 20 degrees below normal for April with highs struggling to reach the lower 40's across the higher spots. The good news is we will see our first couple dry days in more than a week. A hard freeze will occur tonight with temperatures falling below freezing before 10pm tonight and lasting till around 9am tomorrow morning. So be sure to cover up or take in your sensitive plants. Tonight, will be our coldest April night since back on April 3, 2021 when the low was 26.3. We have an outside chance to reach our coldest April levels in almost 10 years if we fall to lower than the 24.5 degree low back on April 6, 2016. The below normal temperatures will continue all week with temperatures finally returning to near normal by early next week. Rain chances to ramp up again by Thursday afternoon and could last through much of Saturday. Current models have some significant rain amounts with between 1.25" and 2.00" of rain that could continue to ease any drought concerns. -
Unseasonably chilly week ahead for us with temperatures today through Wednesday remaining in the 40's for high temperatures. Today is our 8th straight day with measurable rain. We should see freezing low temperatures both tonight and tomorrow night. We dry out through Thursday before more rain arrives that night and into next weekend.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Unseasonably chilly week ahead for us with temperatures today through Wednesday remaining in the 40's for high temperatures. Today is our 8th straight day with measurable rain. We should see freezing low temperatures both tonight and tomorrow night. We dry out through Thursday before more rain arrives that night and into next weekend. -
Today will be our 7th straight day with measurable rain and tomorrow will make it 8 days. So far today we have received 0.07" of rain in EN. In addition to the showers, we will continue to turn colder with highs today close to 50 degrees a good 10 degrees below normal for today. This cold pattern looks like it will continue for at least the next week with the coldest day being Tuesday with high temperatures struggling to reach the mid 40's and a wind chill factor near freezing that afternoon. A freeze looks likely for most of the area on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Today will be our 7th straight day with measurable rain and tomorrow will make it 8 days. So far today we have received 0.07" of rain in EN. In addition to the showers, we will continue to turn colder with highs today close to 50 degrees a good 10 degrees below normal for today. This cold pattern looks like it will continue for at least the next week with the coldest day being Tuesday with high temperatures struggling to reach the mid 40's and a wind chill factor near freezing that afternoon. A freeze looks likely for most of the area on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday mornings. -
Cloudy and much chillier today with temperatures struggling to get to the mid 50's. Normal high temperatures this time of the year are within a couple degrees of 60 here in Chester County. We will fall to well below those levels following a strong cold front passage on Monday. Highs Monday through Wednesday will remain in the chilly 40's before we moderate to near normal by the end of the week. We should see sub-freezing low temperatures on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday morning. Our average date of the last freeze here in Chester County is April 18th in the higher elevation spots and April 25th in valley spots. Rain chances will continue through Monday although the Phillies should have no issues with getting in today's game at 4pm. The best chance of heavier rain Sunday night into Monday morning. We could see an additional 0.50" to 1.00" of rain by Monday's AM commute.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Cloudy and much chillier today with temperatures struggling to get to the mid 50's. Normal high temperatures this time of the year are within a couple degrees of 60 here in Chester County. We will fall to well below those levels following a strong cold front passage on Monday. Highs Monday through Wednesday will remain in the chilly 40's before we moderate to near normal by the end of the week. We should see sub-freezing low temperatures on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday morning. Our average date of the last freeze here in Chester County is April 18th in the higher elevation spots and April 25th in valley spots. Rain chances will continue through Monday although the Phillies should have no issues with getting in today's game at 4pm. The best chance of heavier rain Sunday night into Monday morning. We could see an additional 0.50" to 1.00" of rain by Monday's AM commute. -
I was asked to do an analysis of the drought conditions here in East Nantmeal, With the 0.08" of rain so far today here in East Nantmeal we have now recorded measurable rain for 6 straight days with 2.34" total during that time. We are starting to put a dent into the earlier drought conditions. From April 2024 thru today we have received 42.42" of rain with normal rain over this little over 1 year period being 51.39". So we are at 83% of normal rain with a rain deficit of 8.97" since April 1, 2024.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I was asked to do an analysis of the drought conditions here in East Nantmeal, With the 0.08" of rain so far today here in East Nantmeal we have now recorded measurable rain for 6 straight days with 2.34" total during that time. We are starting to put a dent into the earlier drought conditions. From April 2024 thru today we have received 42.42" of rain with normal rain over this little over 1 year period being 51.39". So we are at 83% of normal rain with a rain deficit of 8.97" since April 1, 2024. -
No fear of non-Chesco data....but you make my case! The data after the adjustments as you admit is clearly no longer the actual climate data from Chester County PA. Following these post hoc adjustments the altered NOAA data for the majority of pasts years has now been chilled below levels recorded by even the coldest station in the county for decades at a time. That is simply not the data as recorded for the County. The actual raw data IS the actual NWS data as validated at the time of observation submission to the National Weather Service.
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Some storm totals with the frontal passage overnight across the area. Atglen 1.10" /KMQS 0.67"/ Chester Springs 0.35" / East Nantmeal 0.54" / Glenmoore 0.43"/ Warwick Twp. 0.54"/ Devault 0.32"/ Kennett Square 0.88"/ West Chester 0.76". Behind the front, today will be almost 10 degrees cooler than yesterday and another 10 degrees cooler this morning. By tomorrow we will be a few degrees below normal with high temperatures in the low to mid 50's. Shower chances ramp up again toward tomorrow morning and again by Sunday PM. We turn much colder to well below normal temperatures through much of next week with below freezing mornings Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday morning.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Some storm totals with the frontal passage overnight across the area. Atglen 1.10" /KMQS 0.67"/ Chester Springs 0.35" / East Nantmeal 0.54" / Glenmoore 0.43"/ Warwick Twp. 0.54"/ Devault 0.32"/ Kennett Square 0.88"/ West Chester 0.76". Behind the front, today will be almost 10 degrees cooler than yesterday and another 10 degrees cooler this morning. By tomorrow we will be a few degrees below normal with high temperatures in the low to mid 50's. Shower chances ramp up again toward tomorrow morning and again by Sunday PM. We turn much colder to well below normal temperatures through much of next week with below freezing mornings Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday morning. -
Below is the Chester County PA Climate Summary for March 2025. We finished with the 10th warmest March (avg. temperature 46.5 degrees) since records began back in 1893. The warmest March was back in 1945 with an average temperature of 51.6 degrees. This was our warmest March since the 47.1-degree average back in 2016. Precipitation was not too far from an overall average across the County finishing as the 62nd wettest out of 133 years with an average of 3.96" across the County. We experienced no measurable snow for the 20th time in our history and the 3rd time in the last 5 years.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Below is the Chester County PA Climate Summary for March 2025. We finished with the 10th warmest March (avg. temperature 46.5 degrees) since records began back in 1893. The warmest March was back in 1945 with an average temperature of 51.6 degrees. This was our warmest March since the 47.1-degree average back in 2016. Precipitation was not too far from an overall average across the County finishing as the 62nd wettest out of 133 years with an average of 3.96" across the County. We experienced no measurable snow for the 20th time in our history and the 3rd time in the last 5 years.