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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
It looks like all stations across the area remained in the single digits above zero with Warwick Twp. our normal cold spot at 2.0 above and of note here in East Nantmeal our low this AM was 3.3 above - this is my coldest reading here since the 3.0 degrees last January 22nd. Today and tonight looks to be a couple of degrees colder than yesterday. We stay in the teens for highs both today and tomorrow before we finally crack the 20-degree mark on Sunday. We see a slight moderating trend through the middle of next week with highs possibly approaching 30 degrees by Tuesday. We could see some snow chances by next Wednesday into Wednesday night. We may turn even colder again by next weekend. The long-range models continue to think while we might get close for a couple of days....they have no days reaching the 32-degree mark through at least mid-February! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I will work that up for at least the philly burbs of Chester County - stay tuned! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Today was our 6th consecutive day with temperatures failing to reach the freezing mark. The longest such streak was 16 days back in 1961. The current 6 days is already tied for the 10th longest freezing stretch in the philly burbs of Chester County PA since 1894. The current NWS Forecast has us remaining below freezing for at least for the next 7 days. If we were to reach next Thursday without cracking the freezing mark that would be the 13th consecutive day moving this current 2026 period to 3rd all-time. Below are the Top 10 consecutive freezing days on record. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Today was our 6th consecutive day with temperatures failing to reach the freezing mark. The longest such streak was 16 days back in 1961. The current 6 days is already tied for the 10th longest freezing stretch in the philly burbs of Chester County PA since 1894. The current NWS Forecast has us remaining below freezing for at least for the next 7 days. If we were to reach next Thursday without cracking the freezing mark that would be the 13th consecutive day moving this current 2026 period to 3rd all-time. Below are the Top 10 consecutive freezing days on record. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Well, most spots stayed above zero including here in East Nantmeal where our low was 5.5 above zero. A couple of our network stations reached below zero with both Warwick Township (-6.5 below) and Nottingham (-0.3). A reinforcing shot of arctic air arrives later today so the NWS continues to have most spots with below zero low temperatures again tonight and Friday night. The coastal storm this weekend continues to look likely to stay far enough southeast of our area to give us no more than flurries. Any potential snow accumulation looks to be confined to the shore points. Either way our persistent cold pattern looks to continue for the foreseeable future. In fact, the longer-range ensemble models have us staying below freezing both day and night through at least mid-February! This if it occurred may be one of our greatest sustained cold periods on record with data back to 1894. I will need to do a little digging on that one. Either way stay warm! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Well, most spots stayed above zero including here in East Nantmeal where our low was 5.5 above zero. A couple of our network stations reached below zero with both Warwick Township (-6.5 below) and Nottingham (-0.3). A reinforcing shot of arctic air arrives later today so the NWS continues to have most spots with below zero low temperatures again tonight and Friday night. The coastal storm this weekend continues to look likely to stay far enough southeast of our area to give us no more than flurries. Any potential snow accumulation looks to be confined to the shore points. Either way our persistent cold pattern looks to continue for the foreseeable future. In fact, the longer-range ensemble models have us staying below freezing both day and night through at least mid-February! This if it occurred may be one of our greatest sustained cold periods on record with data back to 1894. I will need to do a little digging on that one. Either way stay warm! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The NWS forecast for many spots across Chester County has low temperatures falling to below zero for the next 3 mornings. To put that in perspective. I have lived here in East Nantmeal and have been taking daily observations for the last 23 years. For the first 9 years from 2004-2013 we never had a below zero reading. Since 2014 we have had only 7 such days and have never even experienced consecutive days below zero. Of note East Nantmeal is at a relatively higher elevation at 685 ft asl. Some relatively low spots like Warwick Township (407 ft asl) have had 12 subzero days since 2012. Below is the list of the only below zero days here in East Nantmeal. 1/31/19 - 4.8 below 2/20/15 - 3.1 below 2/16/15 - 2.8 below 1/7/14 - 1.6 below 1/24/11 - 1.2 below 1/22/14 - 1.0 below 2/24/15 - 0.3 below -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
The NWS forecast for many spots across Chester County has low temperatures falling to below zero for the next 3 mornings. To put that in perspective. I have lived here in East Nantmeal and have been taking daily observations for the last 23 years. For the first 9 years from 2004-2013 we never had a below zero reading. Since 2014 we have had only 7 such days and have never even experienced consecutive days below zero. Of note East Nantmeal is at a relatively higher elevation at 685 ft asl. Some relatively low spots like Warwick Township (407 ft asl) have had 12 subzero days since 2012. Below is the list of the only below zero days here in East Nantmeal. 1/31/19 - 4.8 below 2/20/15 - 3.1 below 2/16/15 - 2.8 below 1/7/14 - 1.6 below 1/24/11 - 1.2 below 1/22/14 - 1.0 below 2/24/15 - 0.3 below -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
LOL! I have to check out that FB and set old Anthony straight!!! I meet these folks all the time....my dad always told me how often it snowed in the 1950's until I showed him the facts.....he said well maybe they didn't clean the streets up as well. This is why I love weather facts over what folks remember. Sadly our memories seem to be faulty about many things and one of the most consistent is the belief it was colder or snowier back then! Whenever back then was. The actual climate data and observations never fail us!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I put the link above there are some NWS spots around that area - I grew up in NE Philly so check out: Neshaminy Falls 1915-Present - 24.5" of snow so far this season George School 1906-1978 Southhampton 1979-2013 -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Actually there is historical NWS Cooperative data for some of those spots I did a quick look with some select snow examples: Sellersville since 1948 (looks like snow since 1990's) - 24.4" of snow so far this season / 2013-14 - 58.3" season snow Doylestown 1899-2017 - 1977-78 - 56.4" of snow Quakertown 1884 - 1969 Palm 1941-1922 Check out https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/request/coop/fe.phtml?network=PACLIMATE if anyone else is interested in some local official NWS amounts etc. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I watch this almost every night.. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I could only find one Chester County station that fell to below zero this morning and that was our usual cold spot up in Warwick Township with a low of 2.6 below zero. Almost all spot saw lows in the single digits above zero. If anything, we get progressively colder the rest of this week with highs through Saturday several degrees lower than yesterday. Highs will be in the mid to upper teens with lows near zero to below. The potential weekend storm still looks like it will miss our area to the east toward the NJ shore but will need to be watched for any potential changes. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I could only find one Chester County station that fell to below zero this morning and that was our usual cold spot up in Warwick Township with a low of 2.6 below zero. Almost all spot saw lows in the single digits above zero. If anything, we get progressively colder the rest of this week with highs through Saturday several degrees lower than yesterday. Highs will be in the mid to upper teens with lows near zero to below. The potential weekend storm still looks like it will miss our area to the east toward the NJ shore but will need to be watched for any potential changes. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
2 feet up to AC on that run....several inches of snow back as far as Chesco -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hmmm. starts moving back SE..... -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
12z GFS operational also backing west bound -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Plenty of single digit lows this morning with our lowest as is often the case in Warwick Township with a low of 3.8 above zero. Several degrees colder both today and Wednesday with highs in the upper teens with low temperatures in the colder valley locations near or below zero. Even colder air arrives on Thursday and Friday with widespread below zero readings and highs in the low to mid-teens. There will be a coastal low this weekend, but most model guidance keeps the impacts well east of the Philly burbs with snow possible toward the NJ shore points. That said there is still a possibility it will trend a bit closer to the coast and gives us some additional snow. Stay warm! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Plenty of single digit lows this morning with our lowest as is often the case in Warwick Township with a low of 3.8 above zero. Several degrees colder both today and Wednesday with highs in the upper teens with low temperatures in the colder valley locations near or below zero. Even colder air arrives on Thursday and Friday with widespread below zero readings and highs in the low to mid-teens. There will be a coastal low this weekend, but most model guidance keeps the impacts well east of the Philly burbs with snow possible toward the NJ shore points. That said there is still a possibility it will trend a bit closer to the coast and gives us some additional snow. Stay warm! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Cannot be slipping away fast with more than 4 days to go....been there done this way too many times. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
With yesterday's storm we are now at 34.1" of snow for the season. This is 9th most snow we have received through the end of January. We have continuous and consistently reported snow records for the below 3 stations since 1888. Average seasonal snowfall through the end of January is 16.4". The remaining average snowfall for February through April is an additional 19.3". The average seasonal snowfall is 35.7". Below are the top 10 years along with the final snow totals for the season. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
With yesterday's storm we are now at 34.1" of snow for the season. This is 9th most snow we have received through the end of January. We have continuous and consistently reported snow records for the below 3 stations since 1888. Average seasonal snowfall through the end of January is 16.4". The remaining average snowfall for February through April is an additional 19.3". The average seasonal snowfall is 35.7". Below are the top 10 years along with the final snow totals for the season.
