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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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Central PA Winter 2022/2023
ChescoWx replied to Blizzard of 93's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It felt chilly this AM with our low of 23.5 degrees but that is actually only 1 degree below normal. Our ongoing "non-winter" has us feeling more like North Carolina climate this season! After today we return to more of an Carolinas climate as we see temps back into the 50's to even 60's by Thursday! Best rain chances this week will be Tuesday AM and Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Both the European and GFS models have some accumulating snow by next Saturday....but we know how that has gone this season! The records for today: High 70 (1981) / Low 7 below zero (1903) / Precipitation 1.08" (1960) Snow 10.0" (1979) this was the 1st day of a 2 day storm that brought 15.2" of snow to our County. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
It felt chilly this AM with our low of 23.5 degrees but that is actually only 1 degree below normal. Our ongoing "non-winter" has us feeling more like North Carolina climate this season! After today we return to more of an Carolinas climate as we see temps back into the 50's to even 60's by Thursday! Best rain chances this week will be Tuesday AM and Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Both the European and GFS models have some accumulating snow by next Saturday....but we know how that has gone this season! The records for today: High 70 (1981) / Low 7 below zero (1903) / Precipitation 1.08" (1960) Snow 10.0" (1979) this was the 1st day of a 2 day storm that brought 15.2" of snow to our County. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sleeting pretty steadily with a few snow flakes mixing in here in East Nantmeal with a temp of 43.7 -
Central PA Winter 2022/2023
ChescoWx replied to Blizzard of 93's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We should reach our high temperature in the mid to upper 50's today before noon and then see temps fall into the 20's by later this evening. We have rain now and should see up to 0.25" of additional rain today. Colder with near normal temps in the low 40's tomorrow before back to well above normal by Sunday. Records for today: High 67 (1976) / Low 9 below zero (1979)/ Record daily precipitation and snow 1.84" of water equivalent and 18.4" of snow part of a 2 day storm total of 18.9" from way back in 1900. This was the 18th largest snowstorm in County history. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
We should reach our high temperature in the mid to upper 50's today before noon and then see temps fall into the 20's by later this evening. We have rain now and should see up to 0.25" of additional rain today. Colder with near normal temps in the low 40's tomorrow before back to well above normal by Sunday. Records for today: High 67 (1976) / Low 9 below zero (1979)/ Record daily precipitation and snow 1.84" of water equivalent and 18.4" of snow part of a 2 day storm total of 18.9" from way back in 1900. This was the 18th largest snowstorm in County history. -
Central PA Winter 2022/2023
ChescoWx replied to Blizzard of 93's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Our mild weather continues today into tomorrow morning until a sharp cold front moves across the area which will drop temps during the day tomorrow down into the 20's by late tomorrow night into Saturday morning. We will also see some much needed rain as we have only seen 0.09" of rain on just 2 days this month. We are almost 2" below normal this month. I have heard reports that Marsh Creek Lake is as low as folks have seen it in a long time. The combined lack of snow and rain is taking it's toll. The good news is we could see between 0.50" and 0.75" across Chester County between showers today and then more rain associated with the cold front tomorrow morning. Records for today: High 72 degrees (1954) / Low 2.8 below zero (2015) / 14.7" (2003) as part of the PD2 Blizzard of 2003 when we received 21.3" of snow - this was the 5th largest February snowstorm in Chester County history. Happy Pitchers and Catchers reporting Day for those who celebrate!!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Our mild weather continues today into tomorrow morning until a sharp cold front moves across the area which will drop temps during the day tomorrow down into the 20's by late tomorrow night into Saturday morning. We will also see some much needed rain as we have only seen 0.09" of rain on just 2 days this month. We are almost 2" below normal this month. I have heard reports that Marsh Creek Lake is as low as folks have seen it in a long time. The combined lack of snow and rain is taking it's toll. The good news is we could see between 0.50" and 0.75" across Chester County between showers today and then more rain associated with the cold front tomorrow morning. Records for today: High 72 degrees (1954) / Low 2.8 below zero (2015) / 14.7" (2003) as part of the PD2 Blizzard of 2003 when we received 21.3" of snow - this was the 5th largest February snowstorm in Chester County history. Happy Pitchers and Catchers reporting Day for those who celebrate!!! -
Cyclical or Natural Predictable Climate Change Forum
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
Of course....they can't produce an actual disaster verification or prediction except what a model tells them how disastrous the world will be in 200 years..... -
Except the statistical analysis proves there is no bias or by chance relationships between the various data sets and observations in the data. If there was the statistical p-value in the data would not have delivered the level of significance against the null hypothesis. It's simple scientific data testing and analysis.
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Of course as the actual real world data is not aligned with the popular global story....I get it
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Thank you! Agreed the fact that some have been convinced that this is a crisis and that young children like mine rank climate change as a threat to their future is ludicrous. Apparently they are concerned about bringing children into the world due to this so called "climate disaster" is pure unadulterated lunacy!! Even if we warm by 1 degree (a big assumption) in their lifetime by 2100 their life will not significantly change for them or their children. The fact anyone with dissenting opinions on any topic is silenced or derided is sad. Science must always be questioned!!
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Why the insults again...thanks for allowing me to figure out the impacts of ocean warming and related energy!! LOL!!!!! Of course Charlie no prediction or forecast is "laughable" until we have verification....let's chat in the late 2030's and 2040's.....
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LOL! actually make those thermometers/stations plural so thermometers in Chester County PA!!!
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Thanks dseagull! great to have some diversity of thought and opinions on this topic!!
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Central PA Winter 2022/2023
ChescoWx replied to Blizzard of 93's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Could see a shower this AM with a warm front with sun returning this PM with temps warming to the low 60's in many spots. Rain by tomorrow afternoon and then sharply but briefly colder by Friday afternoon into Saturday. Records for today: High 75 (1949) / Low 11 below zero (1899) / Precipitation 1.61" (1987) / Snow 13.0" (1958) -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Could see a shower this AM with a warm front with sun returning this PM with temps warming to the low 60's in many spots. Rain by tomorrow afternoon and then sharply but briefly colder by Friday afternoon into Saturday. Records for today: High 75 (1949) / Low 11 below zero (1899) / Precipitation 1.61" (1987) / Snow 13.0" (1958) -
Ocean of course cools and warms at a much different pace than land....I only address land temps for Chester County PA....
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Below is March average temps since 1894 through last year. Cyclical of course but overall flat to a slight decline -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
I will look at March individually across only Chester County but for the March - April - May spring months overall as usual any actual temperature changes appear cyclical. With overall Phoenixville warmer - West Chester flat and Coatesville trending cooler -
At least for the area analyzed below - based on the clear cycles of warm - cold illustrated below I would expect we see the trend downward starting later this decade....
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Central PA Winter 2022/2023
ChescoWx replied to Blizzard of 93's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Another well above normal day today with temps in the low 50's. Our normal high today is just shy of 40 degrees. Of note today is the last day in the winter with average high temperatures of less than 40 degrees. The next time average high temperatures are in the 30's will be December 19th. Tomorrow we will approach near 60 but with increasing clouds. Rain looks to arrive on Thursday into early Friday. Will will turn briefly chillier again on Friday PM into Saturday before warming up again by Sunday. Our records for today: High 63 degrees (1949) / Low 4 below zero (1979) / Precipitation 1.25" (2007) / Snow 10.0" (1899) -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Another well above normal day today with temps in the low 50's. Our normal high today is just shy of 40 degrees. Of note today is the last day in the winter with average high temperatures of less than 40 degrees. The next time average high temperatures are in the 30's will be December 19th. Tomorrow we will approach near 60 but with increasing clouds. Rain looks to arrive on Thursday into early Friday. Will will turn briefly chillier again on Friday PM into Saturday before warming up again by Sunday. Our records for today: High 63 degrees (1949) / Low 4 below zero (1979) / Precipitation 1.25" (2007) / Snow 10.0" (1899) -
Central PA Winter 2022/2023
ChescoWx replied to Blizzard of 93's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We picked up a needed .07" of rain yesterday. Beautiful late winter day across the County today. Temps today in the 50's and we might hit 60 degrees on Wednesday. Looks like rain again by Thursday. The record high for today is 65 degrees from 1951. Record low was the 5 below zero from 1979. The daily precipitation and snow record are both from today's date in 1899. In the midst of the greatest snowstorm in Chester County history with 35.3" of snow falling on the 13th alone and an incredible storm total of 53.0" by the time the storm wrapped up on Valentines Day. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
We picked up a needed .07" of rain yesterday. Beautiful late winter day across the County today. Temps today in the 50's and we might hit 60 degrees on Wednesday. Looks like rain again by Thursday. The record high for today is 65 degrees from 1951. Record low was the 5 below zero from 1979. The daily precipitation and snow record are both from today's date in 1899. In the midst of the greatest snowstorm in Chester County history with 35.3" of snow falling on the 13th alone and an incredible storm total of 53.0" by the time the storm wrapped up on Valentines Day. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
ChescoWx replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
We have now exceeded 120" of accumulated GFS Snow model snow this year for Chester County....only problem is no winter event this season has even hit the 1 mark.....