ChescoWx

Hi Charlie....the supporting information is the raw data above - it is right there on the page - I even posted the ranking that clearly show the 1930's and 1940's are the warmest decades. Now of course I understand with the "bias adjustment" applied to the data it supports the warming much better....but we like our weather like our onions....raw!! Go Birds!!!

That well respected MET JB says for the Period March 1 through April 15 - PHL is 5 degrees below normal with 15" of snow.....this will not age well

Cloudy and chilly today with the best chance of rain across SE Chester County with less chances the further NW you travel across the county. Temperatures then warm up through Friday with highs possibly touching 60 degrees by Thursday. That day is also the best chance of rain after today. Much cooler again by Friday night into next weekend. Records for today: High 68 degrees (1999) / Low 1 below zero (1979) / Precipitation 1.46" (1985)/ Snow 12.8" (2006) - GO BIRDS!!!

Cloudy and chilly today with the best chance of rain across SE Chester County with less chances the further NW you travel across the county. Temperatures then warm up through Friday with highs possibly touching 60 degrees by Thursday. That day is also the best chance of rain after today. Much cooler again by Friday night into next weekend. Records for today: High 68 degrees (1999) / Low 1 below zero (1979) / Precipitation 1.46" (1985)/ Snow 12.8" (2006) - GO BIRDS!!!

Of course Tip...but the actual unadjusted data should follow suit...there should be consistent data without adjustment for the 1930's and 1940's that support this supposition....correct?? How can we find entire counties in the USA that do not follow the same warming we should expect to see?

But of course the unadjusted data for all of the available Chester County sites does not show the above trend lines.....

All available un-adjusted raw National Weather Service COOP stations blended averages below clearly show the cyclical nature of the climate in Chester County PA. The overall warmest decades remain the 1930's and 1940's. We actually had the 2000's finish cooler than the 1990's and the 2010's warmed but still not quite to the warmth we observed in the 1990's. Note in the chart below I list all individual stations with a blue temperature indicating cooler temps vs the prior decade - red being warmer and black the same as the prior decade.

All available un-adjusted raw National Weather Service COOP stations blended averages below clearly show the cyclical nature of the climate in Chester County PA. The overall warmest decades remain the 1930's and 1940's. We actually had the 2000's finish cooler than the 1990's and the 2010's warmed but still not quite to the warmth we observed in the 1990's. Note in the chart below I list all individual stations with a blue temperature indicating cooler temps vs the prior decade - red being warmer and black the same as the prior decade.

More warming in the non-adjusted data huh? Not among these stations in Chester County PA

Sunny with slightly above normal temps for today with a high near 43. Rain chances increase tomorrow and chilly with temps likely staying in the 30's in the Western parts of Chester County and near 40 further east. There could be some wet snow flakes or sleet mixed in for while during the early PM. We then turn sunny and mild again to start the new work week. The records for today: High 64 (1960) / Low 13 below zero (1899) / Precipitation 1.68" (1983) / Snow 21.8" (1983) - that was day one of the 2 day blizzard that left Chester County under 22.4" of snow. This was the 10th largest snowstorm in County history.

Sunny with slightly above normal temps for today with a high near 43. Rain chances increase tomorrow and chilly with temps likely staying in the 30's in the Western parts of Chester County and near 40 further east. There could be some wet snow flakes or sleet mixed in for while during the early PM. We then turn sunny and mild again to start the new work week. The records for today: High 64 (1960) / Low 13 below zero (1899) / Precipitation 1.68" (1983) / Snow 21.8" (1983) - that was day one of the 2 day blizzard that left Chester County under 22.4" of snow. This was the 10th largest snowstorm in County history.

CSNavy waiting as usual for any actual non NOAA adjusted long term weather data verification ...more than since 1970 to support with any scientific rigor any such warming claims.

We have started out mild today but look for temps to start falling later this afternoon as we should have some close to normal temps for the weekend. We may see some rain arriving on Sunday which may start as some wet snow across the higher ridges of Western Chester and Berks Counties before quickly turning to a cold rain. We turn much milder again by Monday. Go Birds!! Records for today: High 62 (1960) / Low 13 below zero (1899) / Precipitation and Snow 2.28" and 22.8" of snow this was the 2nd day of the 6th largest snowstorm in Chester County history with a total fall of 26.8"

Another annual shatty winter forecast from me!! I did at least get the below normal temps for December....otherwise an utter failure of a forecast from start to finish!! I will bring this up again next year with my next fearless winter outlook for 2023-24!!!

Above normal temps will continue through Friday then near normal for the weekend with increasing rain chances that could start as some wet snow across higher elevations of Chester County on Sunday. Milder again next wee. Today's Climate Records: High 61 (1990)/ Low 14 below zero (1934)/ Precip 1.86"(1906) and Snow (6.0") 1936

Above normal temps will continue through Friday then near normal for the weekend with increasing rain chances that could start as some wet snow across higher elevations of Chester County on Sunday. Milder again next wee. Today's Climate Records: High 61 (1990)/ Low 14 below zero (1934)/ Precip 1.86"(1906) and Snow (6.0") 1936

The EURO delivers the largest snow event of the season for the burbs!!

I am pretty sure you are joking about climate change....as it of course has no impact on any individual weather event or storm this season....

I provided a detailed explanation of the multiple steps we have taken to validate the statistical accuracy of the data (see above) that means the data has been proven to be acceptable and not contaminated. If it was contaminated obviously the statistical significance (p-value) would not be there and my data would not stand up to the scientifically proven rigor that we accomplished with our data testing and analysis. Hope that helps!

NASA satellite for January 2023 shows we were colder this month than 36 years ago way back in January 1987... This occurred despite a doubling of man made CO2 in the atmosphere. The global warming hypothesis is that every CO2 emission warms the planet. Cooling phase starting early??

Our overnight low was a warm 35.7 (normal is 22.1). Our mild weather continues through Friday with closer to seasonable temperatures by the weekend. Our best rain chance looks to be tomorrow afternoon into the evening but not a wash out. Records for today: High (64) 1965 / Low (4) 1895 / Precipitation (1.00") 1895 / Snow (10.0") 1895. Of note today in 1895 was the 2nd day of a 2-day snowstorm that began at 8am on the 7th and ended at 5am on the 8th with very cold temps being reported as the thermometer remain below 8 degrees fro the entire storm.

Our overnight low was a warm 35.7 (normal is 22.1). Our mild weather continues through Friday with closer to seasonable temperatures by the weekend. Our best rain chance looks to be tomorrow afternoon into the evening but not a wash out. Records for today: High (64) 1965 / Low (4) 1895 / Precipitation (1.00") 1895 / Snow (10.0") 1895. Of note today in 1895 was the 2nd day of a 2-day snowstorm that began at 8am on the 7th and ended at 5am on the 8th with very cold temps being reported as the thermometer remain below 8 degrees fro the entire storm.

The GFS snow for the weekend is only a few hundred miles further south down in North Carolina now....

Some doom and gloom climate predictions that did not age well... https://nypost.com/2021/11/12/50-years-of-predictions-that-the-climate-apocalypse-is-nigh/ https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-years-of-failed-eco-pocalyptic-predictions/ https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/18-spectacularly-wrong-predictions-were-made-around-the-time-of-the-first-earth-day-in-1970-expect-more-this-year/ https://norfolkdailynews.com/commentary/despite-so-many-failed-predictions-new-ones-of-climate-change-continue/article_cf325ee0-18b2-11ed-9f35-6b10c95d64ed.html https://www.fraserinstitute.org/blogs/doomsday-predictions-rely-on-flawed-climate-models https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/50-years-of-failed-doomsday-eco-pocalyptic-predictions-the-so-called-experts-are-0-50/ https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelshellenberger/2019/11/25/why-everything-they-say-about-climate-change-is-wrong/?sh=51a2486b12d6 https://www.foxnews.com/us/top-5-most-outrageous-2020-doomsday-predictions https://heartland.org/opinion/being-a-climate-alarmist-means-never-having-to-admit-youre-wrong/ https://www.foxnews.com/politics/al-gore-history-climate-predictions-statements-proven-false

Hello all, I thought I would start a forum that provides climate data and research that illustrates the cyclical nature of our always changing climate. It will also present examples of failed climate alarmist predictions. If you are a climate alarmist or a climate cycle denier who gets angry with dissenting views you may want to steer clear of this forum. To start us off let's start with a peer reviewed article on this very topic of the cyclical, natural change in our climate. I hope you all enjoy the forum!! https://www.forbes.com/sites/larrybell/2012/01/10/global-warming-no-natural-predictable-climate-change/?sh=78b0b3bf73ad