Juliancolton

From what I've seen, this was still a couple notches below Tax Day '07 and October '05 in Dutchess, but above Irene. Floyd seemed to impact a lot of different areas that have probably been built up or improved since then.

5.92" storm total here. Plenty of flooding in the usual spots and even in some not so usual ones. Not as severe right on my street as early July, but more widespread throughout the town, county, and, obviously, beyond. I didn't take many pictures but still had to capture this scene of pickups seeking higher ground

Closing in on 6". This is all out of here by 4 am and then the sun rises on a clear, dry day with highs in the upper 60s. Perfect basement-pumping weather.

4.80" from the tipper so far. Seeing quite a bit of lightning now

The stronger-than-modeled convection over PA/NJ and now moving into NYC has been robbing our moisture a bit. Whatever ridiculous rainfall total you end up with, it was almost even worse.

Briefly considered a jebwalk to marvel at this historic event, then I remembered that rain sucks a lot

Unfolding as expected with widespread 1"+/hr rainfall rates now. Pond is already flooding the road so that's gonna get pretty bad

This is the HREF ensemble mean. Not even member max, but the mean. Heck of a signal.

What a disaster the main thread is. Terrible. Anyway... beyond the obvious issues, it's worth keeping an eye on winds late this evening. Rather potent low- to mid-level jet with 50kt+ flow not too far off the ground. We're lucky to have a deep stable layer to keep those winds aloft most of the time, but I'm sure it'll get breezy in the heaviest downpours. Some of the algorithms do show a period of 50-60 mph gusts. While one can safely discount those numbers, even a few 30 mph gusts would probably become problematic after several inches of rain.

Generally 10-year return period for WPC QPF, but potential for patches of much longer 25- and even 50-year intervals.

From the HPC, generally 10-year return periods for 24-hour QPF but potential for 25 and even 50-year rainfall events in spots.

Not on the nested version, at least.

These values would be decent as snowfall accums

I met up with my dad and we watched the DCSO K9 demonstration from the tent. Hard to beat a cold one while watching the good doggies eat some people

Of course! Chocolate. The Dutchess County Dairy Committee took it over from 4H which is a little bit of a bummer, but at least it still goes towards local ag and not like Dairy Queen or something.

Summer 2021 remains undefeated in crappy weekend wx. I did manage to sneak in a few hours at the DC fair earlier.

Just felt a little bit of a cooler breeze out of the E. I think the front is finally through based on that and pressure rises at stations to the north

Didn't hit 100, doesn't count

Enjoy. Hoping to make a couple last batches of zucchini muffins tonight - they're my quintessential summertime treat. With the exception of tomatoes, most veggies are on their last legs as disease and pest pressure reach peak levels.

It sucks having to mow the lawn every 5 days at the end of August. Bring back the drought.

93/78

Really? Had no idea

It's 71F and I can see my breath in the moonlight. Just bonkers levels of moisture in the air.

2.62" is my final Stratus total from Henri. Glad it wasn't much more than that as streams are pretty swollen. Also, soupy. 79/75

Apparently, it cannot.