Juliancolton

All of the continents are just big islands

Well, I wasn't on-board until I saw the 96-hour KMA Asian domain, lock it up.

The moisture was really shallow... snizzle vs drizzle probably came down to tiny variations in ice nuclei/sfc temp/elevation

More drizzle this afternoon. Welcome to the next 14 weeks!

I used my tractor to scrape the driveway on Saturday morning, then threw some salt down in the critical spots. It made things worse in the short-term but allowed everything to melt out quickly when the sun hit it on Sunday. Completely clean now.

That's awesome. How can anyone not love this season?

I hope that clown-range storm on the globals disappears for like a week before roaring back to life on D3/4. I've had my fill of tracking for the year, just need it to actually snow now.

A few medium-sized white pine branches have fallen, but otherwise no major issues. Those are pretty awful trees... I feel like I've just spent 20 years cleaning up after them. Had a bumper crop of limbs in December 2008.

Sounds about right. Doubt I'll be able to get a car back down to the road in anything resembling a controlled manner. I'll have to sit home smoking cigars and drinking bourbon all weekend.

I'm not really sure about what to do with my driveway. Another round of freezing rain this afternoon has totally locked in the 1/2" or so of sleet.

It's still getting colder here. 21/20

Even without looking at radar or LSRs/mPING, you can easily see the southern limit of significant ice by its societal effects. Pretty cool how closely these are aligned.

Only a light glaze at home before the sleet started, thankfully. Mean radial was 2mm, so well under 1/10th of an inch. It seems like the far northern reaches of Dutchess did "better" on the ZR front.

Very early. Just dropped below freezing near Millbrook... the cold air is pushing south quickly.

Down to 33 and still pouring, with 1.25" on the day so far. This is probably not going to be fun.

Here's something I only just learned that makes those maps even more worthless, at least for the GFS. Bonkers.

Thanks for the ob. This is worth knowing, since snowcover naturally has an impact on low-level temps (as well as fog formation, potentially dense, later today). It's getting pretty patchy here, especially under trees and on the usual south-facing slopes. Should be relegated to piles before long.

We're bumping right up against the threshold between nuisance ice and ice that starts causing problems. We can safely dispense with visions of crumpled transmission towers, but I think we're all well aware of how readily a few weak tree limbs can knock out power for days on end. With cold temps returning this weekend, I'll be checking my generator today to make sure it's ready to go. Start 'em if you got 'em. And not to worry... the Hudson River Ice Yacht Club is optimistic about a return to smooth ice in Athens with this melt/flash freeze potential, and they're even holding out hope to get some sailing in at Rhinecliff later in the month.

Down a bit from a high of 47... thought I had an outside shot at 50, but that ship has probably sailed. Spring cancel.

As always, it bears remembering that QPF falling as freezing rain isn't the same as the eventual glaze thickness. In excellent conditions, radial ice accretion to liquid ratios are around 0.3:1 or 0.4:1, with horizontal accretion around 0.75:1. So 0.5" of "freezing rain QPF" will not be half an inch of ice sitting on power lines.

I just want a couple mashed potatoes storms for photography. The windy crap that ends up in rock crevices and stacked up against fences... meh.

This winter has been ok, despite the rather dismal YTD snowfall totals. A cold January with no major thaws is like winning the lottery these days. A couple respectable snowfalls in the next 6-8 weeks will make it a tolerable season.

Impressive. -0.3 here

Sitting at 5F currently. Should just barely get the first subzero low of February, I would think.

Me, trying to figure out what I first thought was an easy question