snowfan

3" here. Had some PL mixing in, but heavier returns are overhead again and SN is the predominate precip type again.

way to ruin the snow cover in your neighborhood. awful neighbor.

Stop looking at models and just enjoy what's happening or happened outside your window.

Smh...so whiny.

ZEN will still be yelling at people for his lack of snow in August.

Based on orientation of the bands and the trajectory of the stuff that needs to come in over the top from the west, you can already see where heavier totals will be located from Rte 50 and north.

That came in fast....and with some brief wind gusts.

Randy, what's your price? Add 20% to it and I'll pay you to ban sjnokorama.

You know EJ would love the challenge of making fire and living off the land.

And now we're talking IR temperature guns in the obs thread. I give up lololololol

It's a party in here with motsco, EJ, and sjnokorma (or whatever the handle is). The best of the best coming out tonight.

Yeah, by 15Z, DCA is at -1C at 700, which is less than ideal for snow. Should want something around -2/-3C or we're already mixing.

3K NAM is a bit better on the QPF front.....by 15Z, DCA is at .27". By 18Z, DCA is up to .5" and still holding the surface and 850s.

Enough OPM talk..... 1) Current radar representation is kinda irrelevant for us. 2) Per the 0Z NAM, DC goes to sleet by 15Z, BWI by 16-17Z. 3) 0Z NAM is light on snow....less than .2" QPF at DCA by 15Z.

18z guidance seemed to move in a positive direction. Then, cwg posted that guidance was pointing downward [shrug].

You used up all available snarky posts complaining about the lack of deadly weather.

BWI: 2.3" IAD: 2.8" DCA: 1.8" RIC: 1.4" Tie: 1.27"

if you're keeping a running list, add snowchaser to the list of bad posters.

Friends don't let friends view the HRDPS. Someone save yoda.

Yeah, I like how he/she came in the storm thread to tell us about how aggressive the warm layer has been. Because none of us have been following that and harping on it for days.

12Z NAM.....DC is over to sleet by 15Z. .3-.4 has fallen by that time, so sticks with the thinking of 1-3/2-4 snow before the flip.

This place is so funny. You have the delusional that see a snow map and are now expecting 4-8" area wide. Then, you have those that are so miserable about everything that they must rain on everyone's parade at all times. Everything is worst case scenario. Then, you have those in the middle trying to be real and trying to convince the other two groups to meet in the middle. For this storm, you're safe going in expecting the following to happen.......1) we will get a short period of snow accumulating 1-4" depending on your area. 2) That will be followed by a period of sleet going into the early afternoon before transitioning to ZR. 3) The surface cold air will be tough to scour out as it always is, so even while roads may get to that state of just being wet in the late afternoon, raised surfaces/trees will still glaze. 4) eventually we go to light rain/drizzle as we all rise above freezing.

Anyone expecting more than 2-4, yes.

DC w PLSN by 18z on the GFS.

Soundings could support sleet and Phineas would always default to.......no, it's awful cold rain. it just happened to refreeze before hitting the ground.