By 18Z Wed, the GFS has DC barely holding onto the column. Probs some heavy riming. You can see the affect of the heavier precip south of DC.....the column is cooler south of DC near Fredericksburg.....heavy snow.
3K comes in hot/heavy like others posted. A general 3-5" snow for the area before the flip. DC loses 700mb by 18Z, but areas further north last longer. By 0Z, the surface is sitting at 31 for DC, but the column torches 900 to 700.
9z Wed shows a decent slug of snow inbound with precip expanding further S/W of the metro area. A bit of a better look than 6Z. By 12Z most of the area is engulfed in snow.
The board has been ugly lately and now a storm is approaching. Good recipe for crazy behavior during the next 6 model run times. Still a long way to go.
Gotta love being reminded the LWX snowfall forecast will bust if the EURO is right.....no shit.
Speaking strictly for DC.....column still good to go at 15Z with snow over the entire area. Even in Fredericksburg, it's still snow at that time.....close around 725 but doesn't get above 32.
Mac n cheese is awful. Pasta in general is no bueno.
Tried chickpea stuffed sweet potatoes yesterday w a drizzle of chipotle aioli on top. So good.
I've been on a hot chicken craze lately...so good.