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snowfan

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Everything posted by snowfan

  1. By 18Z Wed, the GFS has DC barely holding onto the column. Probs some heavy riming. You can see the affect of the heavier precip south of DC.....the column is cooler south of DC near Fredericksburg.....heavy snow.
  2. Thru the end of it's run, 3k NAM has a general .8-1" QPF for the 95 corridor. More N/W.
  3. 3K comes in hot/heavy like others posted. A general 3-5" snow for the area before the flip. DC loses 700mb by 18Z, but areas further north last longer. By 0Z, the surface is sitting at 31 for DC, but the column torches 900 to 700.
  4. Looking at the entire picture and not just snow, 12Z NAM is still a wintry mess for the area. Well over an inch of QPF for the area.
  5. If you're going to use storm mode, be serious about it and ban ji. He's already cluttering up the thread with his typical useless posts.
  6. 9z Wed shows a decent slug of snow inbound with precip expanding further S/W of the metro area. A bit of a better look than 6Z. By 12Z most of the area is engulfed in snow.
  7. Yeah, I'm not a huge proponent of storm mode, but think it's the right call here.
  8. Sounds like a bad choice going to a john mellancamp concert, so maybe a sign....
  9. Lol...the delusional ones on the board that think we hold snowcover for weeks on end will be devastated.
  10. The board has been ugly lately and now a storm is approaching. Good recipe for crazy behavior during the next 6 model run times. Still a long way to go. Gotta love being reminded the LWX snowfall forecast will bust if the EURO is right.....no shit.
  11. FV3 has two maximas....a western and eastern one. A bit of a gap in between.
  12. NAM snow depth maps are about a 6-8" snowfall for the area. Less S/E of course.
  13. And, then we dry slot. That's what you call a best case scenario for this situation.
  14. Geesh....DC still barely holding on at the surface still at 0Z Wed.
  15. At 18Z, DC is still holding the column. A bit of a warm tongue at 850 and another near 725, but still holding on.
  16. Speaking strictly for DC.....column still good to go at 15Z with snow over the entire area. Even in Fredericksburg, it's still snow at that time.....close around 725 but doesn't get above 32.
  17. 12Z Wed has most of the area in snow w temps in the 20s.
  18. Can we please have a thread for the miserable SOBs that continue ruining the storm threads?
  19. Mac n cheese is awful. Pasta in general is no bueno. Tried chickpea stuffed sweet potatoes yesterday w a drizzle of chipotle aioli on top. So good. I've been on a hot chicken craze lately...so good.
  20. We lose 700s and 850s sometime after 18z on the GFS. Surface hangs on til just after 18z.
  21. Total snow depth change on the NAM is 3-5" for the metro areas. More in the favored areas of course.
  22. We lose 850s around 19-20z on the NAM. 750s are gone by 16-17z, so looking like sleet. Surface hangs on til about 21z along 95.
  23. Its better than 12Z. Maybe a tad slower but comes in heavy.
  24. Yep...everyone is too premature w things around here.
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