snowfan

Bills tonight.

Lol. I laughed. GFS was funny.

Light snow in Canaan.

CWG issued their forecast map. With their absurd boom bust potential included theres 0 chance of being wrong. Factoring in boom bust, im supposed to see 0-3".

Cmon, psu. Don’t say peace out then drop back in 2 minutes later. That’s a ji move. Lol.

Ooof. GFS is a disaster all week. Total QPF less than a half inch combined for both systems in DC w minimal snow,

All I wrote was that it wasn’t going to be a big ice threat for DC. Stop hating on my amazing NAM analysis lol.

3k is likely more realistic with its precip amounts. 12K showing huge ice issues evenfordc proper, which isn't going happen-

Don’t fall for the NAM. Just don’t do it. Right????

Mt Washington was gusting in the 150s w temps below 0 and snow falling/blowing. Sign me up.

Yes, it did 11 hours ago....

And before the posts come.....we don’t need double digits. We’re just looking for something that requires the use of a shovel

Better this run. Colder. 984 L wrapped up off the VA Coast. We approve.

Here’s DC snowfall w trend line since 1942 when recording moved to DCA. There’s a trend of increased variability w big extremes....both high and low that you’ll see at many other reporting locations.

Nam coming in colder upstairs to start. This is nearish BWI.

Fair point on DC. 4 of the last 10 seasons w < 5”. That’s abysmal. DCA is also in THE absolutely worst spot in the area especially for marginal events, which are our speciality.

Disclaimer: not posting this to start a debate about CC. Just talking/analyzing numbers,trends,etc. I hope this is fair to discuss on here. Been seeing lots of talk on the board recently about just how it is to snow around here now. Below are the last 50 years of snowfall at BWI w average and median plotted. Our most recent 2 winters have sucked thus far to state the obvious, but highs and lows have and always will be there. Variability has increased w the obvious outliers sticking out like a sore thumb.....95-96, 02-03, and 09-10 on the high end. Our most recent 10 year period had the lowest avg (16.6”) of the 5 decades followed closely by 1970-1971 to 1979-1980 (17.2”).

Thanks for the heads up

Really the only post we need, tbh.

GFS doesn’t look like much in the way of frozen sans the favored areas. ETA 32 and rain will likely just result in glazed trees.

Funny.....cwg and their cya forecasts. And then they'll be among the first to take a dig at nws for busting.

Yeah, 850s bump north into PA but then drop back a bit w the arrival of heavier precip. Starting to key in on at least some front end frozen before light rain.

^^^that was amusing. Reminds me of scenes from shows where everyone is freaking the f out and there's one random dude standing in the middle still calmly explaining his thoughts.

LOL. Great....3-4 days without a breakdown.

Noticeably colder than the gfs. Obvs not as whacked out deep like the GFS was.