CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I think some weenies may cease breathing if this keeps up.
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MJO from what I saw a couple of days ago looked like it was emerging into the maritime continent and not really towards dateline until mid month. But that hasn’t changed.
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Ray approved. DC blizzard and rains to maines.
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If it’s not going to snow let’s get some flood and wind damage.
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A foot of rain on the gfs?
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Totally reasonable given blocking. By interior maybe I meant interior Canada.
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May need the SOS savior after that run.
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Mitchy 2 bodies won’t like the gfs after posting his excitement on social media.
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Yeah initially I think it is. To me it looked more favorable here later in the 11-15 day. That’s of course if it stays as modeled.
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Kind of a persistent -PNA. -EPohno ridge near dateline into western AK helping. It’s also possible the block may be helping too as the troughs have nowhere to go, but dive south.
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Gfs op is just digging and digging troughs into CA and just offshore. That’s the issue.
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Lol I wasn’t trying to start anything. Just looked at the op and was like yeesh. Hopefully that won’t happen.
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It’s the op runs that were a mess. Surprised they are so different.
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Is happy
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The G in GFS stands for Grinch. Yikes.
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You’re in VT. Take an edible for Christ sake.
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I don’t know. I look at it from a broad picture. To me it has been looking like an interior pattern as I said over a week ago. Whether it’s delayed two days or five days doesn’t matter to me. I still appreciate the look. Good news is that we look to get a much better shot post 12-14 or so. We can say that now as we get closer into the pattern details. Two weeks ago, all we could say is post 12/5. I think people have unrealistic expectations.
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I still think this will be a good interior pattern when all said and done. I do think the coast will just have to wait until maybe after the 14th or 15th. Sounds like climo to me. Everyone is so jumping the gun and not looking at the fucking calendar.
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We need the rain. Reservoirs still low around here.
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It’s still a good block but the orientation matters. But this is only for the earlier period prior to 12/14 or so.
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This is not a strong SE ridge.
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Also euro op looks drunk
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Go to tropical tidbits and look at the EPS 500mb anomalies for the northern hemisphere view. I can’t post right now, but if you look at 00z (12z not out yet fully) you’ll see what I mean. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps®ion=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2022120300&fh=72
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It’s been wind driven rain for a while now here.
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Another thing I noticed is that the orientation of the block has sort of changed. It’s kind of elongated and a little further east, not this big circular mass squashing everything. Eventually it does retrograde, but I think the orientation isn’t helping as much either. This is just the initial stages, I’m not talking about after mid month.
