CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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It does. 12z GFS at H5 really close to the 00z EC and Graphcast AI models too haha. May have to watch the SE ridge flex a bit.
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This pattern is so not Nino it's comical. So much for the big 2.0+ dailies.
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Anyways, that works better than 1SM at 33F. Get some meat in here.
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Winds go more east. It's cold aloft, but even that track on the GFS is a little close. I think it's good for now, but that would be taint city if it budged more NW.
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I'm not sure if it helped much, I was just curious about that and what it might do.
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Just depends on air temp. 33-34 and you'll get a few inches of slop.
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I'd knock that off a bit for you and I.
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That would be a paster here with 50kt winds.
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Definitely notable on the confluence. Probably helped drive that s/w north.
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Canadian is close to the GFS as well.
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OK good enough lol. Might taint BOS-South .
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Wow that hugs lol.
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GFS will be NW, but that S/W behind it is deeper. Wonder what that will mean.
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Playing around with AI models. Some differences in the outcomes towards day 10. A more positively tilted trough on the some of the AI models vs the euro op and EPS which have a deeper trough out west. Some energy guys noted that the AI models have had some success in the medium range. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A Machine learning models"]}
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I literally thought of him when I typed that. Maybe some 2004 WS Bellhorn comes out.
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Play with the taint, but still works here.
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I took mine out in Nov to get it going. Sorry about December.
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First up to bat (although batting like .150) is the ICON with a track just south of ACK.
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I'd rather have 3 hrs of violence instead of 3 days of flurries.
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ESE winds with a fairly cold 925 layer still. We mix.
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6z GFS takes out cstl Maine's grid again.
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Kind of a sloppy mess here.
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I'd rather get this a little closer like the ICON because either way the CF will be west of you and I for awhile. So I'd rather get some heavy paste vs 1SM -SN that barely sticks. Euro was cold, but I might bump those temps a tad for you and I.
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Just realized how the Jan 2 1987 event would have triggered Kevin.
