CoastalWx

Is there a modal upgrade today? What's being updated.

Gonna be hard to replicate two mega bands separated by 100 miles of arctic dust blown around by 50kt winds lol.

Still could

They’ll be some fluctuations.

Saturday May be the last torch for awhile. Could be low 60s.

That thing on the 6-7 keeps coming in colder. Might be something to watch.

I will say the EPS was close to nudity for all. That’s a sweet look for more widespread stuff.

Yes it’s a good look and I’d take it a million ways from last December. But when asked how I felt about snow, I think it’s wise to approach it more conservatively for you and I. But as I said….I can see how this would be good for almost all of us too. I just don’t have the information in front of me at this moment to make that call.

It's happened before. I am just prepping T-Blizz for the inevitable.

I hope nobody is misconstruing what I’m saying. Nah, that never happens.

If I lived inland I probably would feel pretty good.

Tougher call for these parts. Couple degrees here or there mean a lot. It doesn’t mean I have an issue with what I see, but you need the ingredients to come together and we’ll never see that coming until you get within 5 days or so of any potential. Our potential really starts to go Up climo wise after the 15th or so. Give me a good high and I’ll be bullish.

Really?

My expectations are tempered. Snowfall is so hard to predict and to go AN on the coast in December is a tough thing to do unless it’s very cold. This to me overall is not a very cold look, but certainly will features periods of BN temps. I did say earlier my gut says this is more an interior look….but I don’t expect be shut out. If this is more 2009 and we get pretty darn chilly, then AN snowfall could occur. However, if this becomes something where it’s half recycled exhaust from Labrador and favors in and up, then I’ll enjoy liquid. I think I’d hedge more cooler…..but I’m not confident on big snow here in my hood.

One word describes his posts. Beer.

Nice snow event in Seattle today. It would be funny if this turned into a PAC NW deal.

That’s it we’re fucked.

Greenmtn won’t like the gfs again.

Highest spots may see some flakes to end? I don’t know if it’s enough to coat.

That thing on the 6th-7th is subtly trending cooler. One to watch for NNE. Maybe follow up wave (some signs of it) helps for SNE following day. Anyways, I don't see any issues on the EPS. If anything, the Pacific looks a bit better on the 12z run. If one looks at the ensembles, it's tough for me to find anything wrong for the first half of December.

Post whatever you want. But understand why posting them is a not an accurate way to gauge the likely outcome. Like Ray said, same goes if it showed a 78 redux.

Agree. But some want to see that for their meteorological binkies.

So the GEFS right now as of hr 282 do not show what the GFS op showed. FYI. Again, not saying there is 0%...but as Will, BrooklynWx have pointed out...you will see highly variable run to run solutions in the op runs.

Yep, it's not a 0% chance, but you'd bet against it as you said. Just like RIC getting 20" is a chance, but you'd bet against it.

This is why we have ensembles people.