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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Not even. I think we are at 3rd least if winter were to end.
  2. EPS has a bit stronger low but a tad south of 6z. I do agree with Will. Given origins, maybe not the worst thing in the world to tick south.
  3. Yes. Take it north and it would have been fun, but it zoomed out like due east.
  4. We'll see what the EPS says, but the EPS has been further south too. Verbatim there may be decent mid level goodies near the pike and just south...but who knows.
  5. Yeah, take the model that gives you a meteorological orgasm and then a kick in the balls two days later.
  6. Oh I missed it then. But I was coming at it more from, this may shut off a little sooner/rates reduced quicker when DGZ is hosed. That is, if the GFS is right. Basically...a SWFE thing.
  7. 90 and 93 look good. What I meant is that I think we can shave off some snow amounts when the good lift sort of shuts down. Typical SWFE stuff. You may have lighter rates where it's colder, but seems like when you lose the DGZ lift, it's always banded or light stuff.
  8. Despite sim radar looking like a pounding, you probably aren't getting corresponding rates with this sounding.
  9. GFS is basically a SWFE. You'll probably dry out the DGZ quick. 6-10 would be max if I had to guess on GFS despite QPF.
  10. I've noticed 3/2 and other future potentials. Just taking it one at a time since any of these threats are not high confidence ones.
  11. It’s definitely not your traditional looking big dog s/w. Shears out and zooms north east. The block causes it to shear out, but otherwise it would cut. Maybe there’s a good fronto band as some have said.
  12. That would explain why it looks like hail on the ground and not sleet. Massive balls.
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