CoastalWx

What?? I'm talking about the event next week. Beer.

That's never been a real chance here. Just one poster in NE CT at 995' that bought it.

See I can't function like that...12/25/10 was bad enough pissing off the wife. Would be nice to see family too...but I get your point.

I dunno...that would sort of ruin the Holiday. I'm good with several inches falling that day or having people buried alive two days before or after Christmas.

Just not enough buns for this.

Bingo. Give this man a milf.

If you are going to analyze every 10 meter height rise or fall, you’re going to be hospitalized. When I look at the big picture (like did the blocking weaken rapidly or Pacific go to crap etc) I don’t see anything noteworthy. Ensembles by nature will always have minor fluctuations every 12 hrs. It’s up to the person looking at them to decipher trends. Those trends take a few days to figure out.

It’s refreshing not to see hr 384 clown maps when I look at this board.

Always tossed beyond day 5. But…….they can be a barometer (no pun intended) to gauge a pattern. For instance in 13-14 and 14-15 they really gave you an idea of the magnitude of cold that we could see with the H5 pattern. Storm details are more nuanced so I’m not sure the value there, but they can show potential too. In our case it’s anywhere from weenie solutions yesterday to more cold and dry looks from overnight. The ensemble guidance overnight continues to promote a pretty good looking pattern with an improving Pacific later in the 11-15 day.

Nothing new today to report.

Was kind of a banded deal too which is what you’d expect with a past mature Miller-A but broke the 2’ cherry finally. It was spread out too. I think we started with some OE at like 3pm and didn’t end until 8pm next day.

Looks like 1.15 here

He’s still hanging

Wow what a fropa. Downpour and wicked windy.

Tblizz

I have that pic of me in wonderful early 80s winter attire somewhere.

Ahh yes I saw that last month. Thanks for that.

Pope has been possessed. Hate to see it.

Ideally what you hope is that as the blocking fades, the Pacific helps take over. Also like Will said, you may see these pulses or brief spikes in ridging again in the same area. I think in our case, we may see it fade, but it could take awhile for something with that magnitude to break down.

There's a lot of details to work out folks. Things look good in the 8-15 day window or so...but this is one piece in the massive snow puzzle.

Yeah, this won't last forever. Usually they still a little longer than modeled though.

Well, you had me look. In clown fashion it's producing snow where it shouldn't be. Move that north.

I have to laugh... Weenies--> "When are the ops going to show me my storms!!!" 12z GFS--> "Shut the fuck up"

We watch the 7th. Still more for NNE...but that has been looking cooler and cooler.