CoastalWx

Give me a big tornado too. All All the time. Anybody claiming otherwise is full of shit.

It's a check and balance. If I'm looking out the window and can't see shit for 6 hrs and 3" adds up, obviously something needs to be accounted for. Luckily I have my spots to help minimize drifting, but it gets difficult in the cold, windy events.

I'm not saying I have had to measure 50" of snow in 60kt winds, but I do have issues with wind in many events. Wind tends to be constant here during the major storms. I have developed some methods to try and help with that. One of them being obs. I know my visibility markers. I sometimes try and substitute snowfall rates given flake size and vis. The storm at the end of Jan last year was extremely difficult. I typically end up being a little conservative, which is fine. I feel better about that vs trying to inflate.

Yep, I know what you mean. The atmosphere "adjusts" first before any SST response. But right now, the atmosphere for next few weeks still looks Nina to me.

I was just kidding around. Big finish there. My only reserve is that I don't see Nina dying yet.

Will any of these anal logs give me snow?

Don, all the best....I wish you good health and to kick whatever you have going on.

Well since you asked, pretty good. EPS imo looks better, but it’s all you can ask at this point. I don’t see things pushed back for the time being either. Caveats: 1) Any sensible impacts probably will be post 1-20 and give yourself a few days cushion knowing how things can be slow to change. 2) EPS is the better, but not quite a +PNA. Basically a west coast ridge. 3) GEFS have a similar ridge location, but some troughing over desert SW. It’s not exactly a -PNA, but would be more of a Ptype risk. Perhaps more SWFE? Net/net….a hell of a lot better than what we have, but gonna need a week to see if this is true or not, and it may not be exactly perfect. We still have the Nina DNA that may want to shift things west. Fingers crossed.

Edibles?

Kind of like Torch Tiger. Used to be a gentle soul posting beautiful scenic winter pics of Bedford NH. Not sure what happened to the lad. Hate to see it.

We haven’t had those lows that park north of Maine with a moist reach around for the mtns really. A little here and there, but it hasn’t been a good pattern for it.

I haven't seen week 5 and 6 yet, but week 4 inspired me to listen to this:

Imagine what the glades are like there.

Oh that, LOL. That's about right. Rain for Phil in Randolph NH, but snow for the DE beach house.

Don't do it.....

Move on. Go arrest someone.

The GEFS have been dragging its heels, but sort of match more with EPS. That's all I meant.

Wipe it clean baby.

LOL, this winter sure. But in most winters, changes to roll forward.

GEFS coming in with a better look now past day 10.

Fraud five is great because it's true. Maybe the SVR stuff is more for eastern areas vs western.

I still see it as complete dog shit. LOL.

I didn't see anybody locking that in or anything, just a comment on what guidance showed. I think we all understand it's a low chance.

Unfortunately it's about to drown New England.

Euro stuff had some signs of it too. But yeah, not only are those tenuous, but that means something needs to go right.