CoastalWx

If you like rain.

Can't be mad at the guidance after the 21st or so.

Seems like the light at the end of the tunnel is around the 21st? Not sure what the 23rd does..maybe a SWFE hopefully.

That was a fun month. Too bad March didn't follow being cold as hell, but not much in the snow dept. Just the beast storm at the end of the month clipping the Cape.

Maybe we get a Feb 2014 look. Some snow for all, Ray even gets to put me in his shed for one of the storms. A win for all.

Voice recognition fail? “Sorry, I didn’t understand what you said…please say that again..” ”2010!!!”

Nah, he just knows.

What was once hoped to be a Japanese high speed rail train, quickly turned into an orange line car on fire above the Mystic River.

Euro goes out to 10 days. The one on day 9 could be decent up north.

I'm not really taking the pattern seriously until a threat shows up. The way this winter has been going, I'm ready for the cutters. LOL.

Fake though.

Pope doesn’t like the look. Lock in the snow.

Some signs of violence.

Delayed Narcan for Ray? Hate to see that.

What a man, what a man, what a man,....what a mighty good man.

After this storm, may have to watch for some blocking in far northern Quebec. It may help the mtns anyways turn some of these events into more snowier solutions...GFS op tries to show this.

Of course you want to be safe, but as a meteorologist, seeing one first hand is on my list. I'm not hiding from that. I fully embrace the weenie side of me there.

Give me a big tornado too. All All the time. Anybody claiming otherwise is full of shit.

It's a check and balance. If I'm looking out the window and can't see shit for 6 hrs and 3" adds up, obviously something needs to be accounted for. Luckily I have my spots to help minimize drifting, but it gets difficult in the cold, windy events.

I'm not saying I have had to measure 50" of snow in 60kt winds, but I do have issues with wind in many events. Wind tends to be constant here during the major storms. I have developed some methods to try and help with that. One of them being obs. I know my visibility markers. I sometimes try and substitute snowfall rates given flake size and vis. The storm at the end of Jan last year was extremely difficult. I typically end up being a little conservative, which is fine. I feel better about that vs trying to inflate.

Yep, I know what you mean. The atmosphere "adjusts" first before any SST response. But right now, the atmosphere for next few weeks still looks Nina to me.

I was just kidding around. Big finish there. My only reserve is that I don't see Nina dying yet.

Will any of these anal logs give me snow?

Don, all the best....I wish you good health and to kick whatever you have going on.

Well since you asked, pretty good. EPS imo looks better, but it’s all you can ask at this point. I don’t see things pushed back for the time being either. Caveats: 1) Any sensible impacts probably will be post 1-20 and give yourself a few days cushion knowing how things can be slow to change. 2) EPS is the better, but not quite a +PNA. Basically a west coast ridge. 3) GEFS have a similar ridge location, but some troughing over desert SW. It’s not exactly a -PNA, but would be more of a Ptype risk. Perhaps more SWFE? Net/net….a hell of a lot better than what we have, but gonna need a week to see if this is true or not, and it may not be exactly perfect. We still have the Nina DNA that may want to shift things west. Fingers crossed.