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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I do like seeing signs of an arctic intrusion into the lower 48. That would mean the PV is more in favor to help with any confluence.
  2. Right, that's been tough to do. Some signs that tries to happen towards end of the month.
  3. The -EPO can do all it wants, but if you dumping troughs into the Baja of CA...you aren't going to do well.
  4. Well I'm not saying throw it out totally, but I am viewing it as an outlier until further notice for this specific event.
  5. Given 12z models so far, I can discount it lol. We still watch, but caution flags all over.
  6. Now the Canadian stalls SE of the Cape lol.
  7. If someone is passionate about it, I don't see an opportunity as "wasted."
  8. Canadian gets the Cape good, but a previous low developing on the front sort of prevents the baroclinic zone from backing up too much. Another way to limit retrogression.
  9. Oh right, I meant 12/31 lol. New Years Eve. Yeah he went postal after jacking a week earlier.
  10. It's close, wouldn't take much...but again these setups are difficult to work with.
  11. Looks like CC has the RA/SN line just NW of 95 there.
  12. Jan 2008. They got smoked where he lived near the canal and not much NW of there.
  13. Yeah. I was thinking that. Need to see the big boy guidance come in with a solid shift.
  14. To put this into perspective, you want one of the most tenuous ways to get snow, to break right. I'm just saying....these setups are extremely tricky.
  15. Maybe Brett can cancel trip to Cranmore and go to Blue Hill?
  16. Kind of a disjointed mess, but NAM did go west. Would like to see the others join. It sort of occludes and loses some cold air, but lower levels are good.
  17. That has been winter so far. Just a massive bowel movement after about 4IPAs and a Pu-Pu platter the night before.
  18. The 22nd to me still looks messy. Maybe a SWFE type deal? After that it looks better, but you still risk messy events. It’s a hell of a lot better than what we have and maybe things go right for once. Expanding out, looks like a strong push of cold later month into early Feb. That might be our best time for sustained winter.
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