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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Jack will be cape into Diane land. Secondary srn CT.
  2. Dry air just eating it up over ern areas. Gonna be awhile for anything meaningful.
  3. That discussion is a little much. 'Expect the unexpected.." Come on man. Lets not get crazy here.
  4. You'll probably see this blossom a bit N and E with time, while the SW CT stuff sort of weakens in the aftn.
  5. Yep. That's how I feel. Probably meh near BOS.
  6. Mid level fronto. No surprises like storm coming way NW etc.
  7. Water vapor is telling. You can see how the incoming s/w from NJ is helping getting the lift going over srn CT into RI. North of that, it will take more until tonight before the low well SE gets captured and the moisture train starts moving W to WNW.
  8. Some guidance has that initial push on the LLJ. Probably a little more than modeled, but a slight bullseye there into LI.
  9. Dry air. That will eat up a lof of the rains today. Best chance along immediate s coast into srn ct and LI.
  10. Looks like 6z euro bumped up a tad on QPF.
  11. 1888 will come sooner or later. With that, will be my retirement from AmWx.
  12. I don't by those numbers here. Maybe PYM-EWB. Sell north of rt 44.
  13. Tough for me to buy these big amounts closer to BOS. I feel like euro op is way to go. Maybe I'll be wrong, but has the look of dry air eating away at a lot of this precip NW of like GHG-PVD give or take.
  14. It is, yes. Cutoffs are notoriously handled with difficulty on models. Tough to assimilate what is happening well offshore.
  15. That model makes more sense to me. Fairly windy as I leave right now.
  16. Like 2” even for you. It has the classic land/sea convergence zone that PF loves to point out. I’m sure it’s overdone, but that is a usual jack in these setups, south of Boston.
  17. I think this is bordering a bit anomalous for this time of year. Gust near 50 oR more are not really common this early. I’d say this is a pretty good event for at least ern and SE areas. Not trying to play geographical favorites, just saying.
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