CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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A gentle reminder of the 10 weenie commandments. Thou shalt not use thy GFS weenie snow algorithms.
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Strong work on that equation BTW.
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It's just going to come down to how and when any little meso low forms. Even on the euro, you can see these features when looking at the little narrow 1hr and 3hr QPF swaths. Big winds would be just east of that.
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Run that for RKD.
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This is looking like a possible big deal NH or Maine coast. Most guidance nails that area.
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3KM NAM is downright nuts. Yikes. Luckily it's the 3K NAM, but that is wild.
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Pike south may have some issues with CAA winds tomorrow from the W-SW. Tonights winds look mostly confined to the coast.
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Rockland Maine blown away.
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Funny 18z euro looked better to me...not sure why the 12z gust product was so absurd.
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Euro looks like some serious winds around here.
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It's too bad December was so bad last year. Granted Jan and Feb weren't blockbuster months...but it would ave made for a prolonged winter around these parts. I thoroughly enjoyed that Novie snow. In fact, that was my biggest November snow that I've seen since probably 1989. I missed the ones in 2002 and 2004 by a few miles.
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Well we tried to tell 'em, but confirmation bias exists. In any case, end of the month is looking much more conducive for winter precip.
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That's just a model he was showing. I think he was just showing that to bring home the point of areas of stronger winds..esp east.
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Oh NAM. Love the weenie wind swath into BOS and 5" of rain near and west of it. The rain I buy west of track.
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Likely you of all...lol. Pretty sweet look. Ski the east group gonna light up.
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Based on the EPS and weeklies, I may have to lock in a snow event for New England with that look. Very impressive troughing for end of month into early Novie.
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Sell hard and fast.
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It's arched NW-SE as the whole thing moves NNE. So, technically at some point a piece of it goes west, but winds are not a big deal outside of srn and ern coast areas IMO.
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Loud voices, but are they credible?
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Euro into north central CT. Slings mesolow into Maine
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If this were any winter month, most of this board would be filled with angry rain comments. The terms "Congrats Logan 11 and PF" would be abundant.
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12z GFS yesterday vs today for storm track. Woof.
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I mean the meso low
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GFS going meso low on roids, but well east.
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The RGEM makes sense to me. You do not have those mini lows on roids, but those small ones that could enhance winds as they pinwheel up. I think that looks logical.
