CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Guidance was much more aggressive after 00z runs on the SG. But there was some signals there. I know we spoke about it.
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Sometimes they just don't get things 100% correct. This leads to non-linear effects...IE heavy snow or much lighter snow.
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Well not always. We had an event in Mar 2015 that wasn't far off. Models way too generous near BOS with snow for the same reason. But this one had better dynamics in the same area.
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Shit is rebuilding. Nice.
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SE MA catching up for sure. Some final lift pushing through, but fighting dry air coming in as well. Should still add up in those areas that shut off to maybe another 0.5"?
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Steve, good call overall. This turned out more widespread with 3-5 and a lolli to 6. Esp from about Hubby to KBED on south.
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Maybe a few more tenths to half inch to finish up.
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You may get 4.5 or so.
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Sounds like about 3 at home
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That’s so bad. It’s so fluffy. I can’t believe school cancelled.
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Just a gut feeling. Nothing concrete.
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My guess is next week is for you.
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Heavy stuff south of the city now. Tblizz should be happy.
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It always does. But what I meant is that the initial thrust of lift helped flip to snow. You had some dynamics added to the mix to help the valley grab a few.
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Actually 3-6 from kev to hubby and 2-4 east of there would have been a good call. Dare I say Kevin hinted that? Although part of that was an initial band vs elevation. Nice job kev and Steve. BOS should come in correct I think.
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Kind of started to look that way yesterday. That’s pretty sweet.
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That's effing good.
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4" today and where was the other 4"?
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Extended EPS looked Nino with split flow and ridging in NW Canada and slight Greenland ridging. This is Nino looking for sure.
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Also even in lighter snows, flakes were good size. Models nailed the SG.
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Snow done at Andover. Maybe 2.5"
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I mean in general. I don't see majority people getting more than 4", but we'll see at end of the storm. But 2-4 would have been better.
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That will dry up.
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I think region-wide 2-4 would cover most. But we'll see how it ends.
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I just look at it from most likely, and then narrow in on Lolli's. But that is also how we role in aviation. But I think overall 2-4 with lolli's to 5 would be better than 1-3 with lolli;s to 4 like I had yesterday. Although we did mention how bands will matter.
