CoastalWx

I wouldn’t call it a cave, but some height rises. That can easily go the other way at 00z, so let’s see if it is a trend.

The first 8-9 days has two potentials. I think that is fairly certain as far as potential goes. We just don’t know track details. The GEFS and GEM ensembles show you how a more Pacific pattern can still be ok. If one looks at H5 you will see more of a GOAK trough with weak ridging in west/Rockies. It’s not a great look, but it could be ok if it happens. It’s not a furnace look. Let’s hope for that. I hope people understand the difference between relaxation and pure Pacific garbage. The EPS would argue for garbage, but I did say relaxation earlier. I’m not sold on garbage yet, but I also think it’s untruthful to say cold and snowy all month.

Probably post 12/10.

Only a couple below the might Tolland Massiff.

Perhaps the 9th too. But, I'd be foolish to lock anything in right now.

I know. I almost came up this coming weekend, but have my son's b-day party. I haven't been skiing in years and wanted to get my son going and myself going too.

Man unreal up in NNE.

I think I said after the first week a bunch of times.

Not even in and up could save him.

Both the GEFS and EPS have low heights in areas where we don't want. I think some of you are taking advantage of legalized weed. Until then, we have a couple of threats through first week of December. That aspect hasn't changed. And to clarify because I see some hyperbole around, it's not a furnace that people are calling for...it looks like a relaxation where it could turn milder.

You have Judah trying to argue colder which is more reason to go warm.

North of the pike. And thensome.

Both are applicable.

Big December for PANC incoming?

Oh right we can track events. Sorry, was mobile so I didn't look. Hot dam that's a lot. You and PF FTW. Man totals.

Gene what were your other events again? Jesus Christ 31”?? Wow.

How much?

I’m pretty envious of you guys right now, but ‘tis the season. Enjoy it while it’s here. Love the pics and damage.

Jesus be safe. Throw those pics up when you’re safely home.

Beware those mjo diagrams. They can be contaminated and show the mjo going into phases not true. You’re better off looking at the VP (velocity potential) at 200mb. This is basically showing where we have divergence and where the mjo will typicaly show itself. The EC is usually best for that. However if you use those Wheeler diagrams, look at the EC. I believe the gfs still has a retrograde bias.

Awesome pics Brian and Gene. Wet snow rules.

There is a low chance the follow up wave may do something next week. But otherwise it’s not wintry looking.

GGW

We already did this

Rowe, MA. 5”