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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Getting back to the blocking, I’m still thinking the pacific air may be creating a false blocking signal, or at least making it look stronger than it might be. On the EPS, I still don’t see a big stout anticyclone up near the Davis Straits. I’m not saying it’s completely gone, just that I’m not sold on a big block yet. The Pacific, however, is improving quite a bit.
  2. CoastalWx
    18z nam a little more snowier near MA/NH border.
  3. CoastalWx
    I kind of hope even if it’s rain here, we flip to a couple of inches of paste. Would be a win.
  4. CoastalWx
    Yep, agree with you guys. The first half of January looked pretty tough from a ways out. The fact maybe some areas in SNE can score would be a bonus.
  5. CoastalWx
    Well either way, get the snow where it needs to be first. Lay the foundation down when we get the blocking (hopefully) and Scooter HP nosing in that cold over the natural refrigeration.
  6. CoastalWx
    Not so much here.
  7. CoastalWx
    Ironically the airmass for the mixed deal is better than this one to start out.
  8. CoastalWx
    EPS still has the s/w pretty far west and the low tied to the baroclinic zone near the EC. It does try for that lobe to eject out with cyclogenesis south of LI. But we may toast 850 on down for awhile.
  9. CoastalWx
    Another shit airmass.
  10. CoastalWx
    Or perhaps guidance like the op run is just not going to figure out this s/w dance for a couple of days and we’ll have some more run to run changes.
  11. CoastalWx
    It does try to get a lobe going under us near hr 114, but the airmass is so toasted with a shitty high sort of retreating again. So basically we’ll need that lobe to really eject off to the east, and then you hope winds turn NE-N with cooler air in the low levels and thickness crashing and height falls aloft. Not always a good combo to bank on
  12. CoastalWx
    This place makes me Laugh. Hopefully we get more to track soon.
  13. CoastalWx
    Maine ftw.
  14. CoastalWx
    It’s trying. We’re gonna need to dynamically flip then.
  15. CoastalWx
    It’s really warm too. I just don’t like the s/w as you said.
  16. CoastalWx
    Needs some work with the warm tongue above it, but some more sleet and snow for Dave and Ray. Hippy too.
  17. CoastalWx
    Not really south for tomorrow system. Just comes in faster and mid levels a bit cooler.
  18. CoastalWx
    That’s how I see it for near 90 in north? I’m not sure it matters much in CT. Not for a two day event anyways.
  19. CoastalWx
    You’re struggling for half inch QPF in some areas and a 6-9 hr burst of precip with light stuff after. You really need a much longer duration.
  20. CoastalWx
    This was always more of a pike north issue and even so, that area won’t have huge impacts to things like trees wires etc. My thoughts have not changed for days.
  21. CoastalWx
    Huh? This is no big deal 84 on down. I don’t see a multi day ice threat with crippling effects. And also, not sure why this was a competition.
  22. CoastalWx
    Ray may get his wet snow crusher on the ukie and gfs para. We
  23. CoastalWx
    An interesting qpf distribution near the center. Probably a little more widespread than it shows.
  24. CoastalWx
    Seems like the trend overall is colder. Just need to get a good initial thump.
  25. CoastalWx
    Weak sauce front end. Definitely not reggie like.
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