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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. On the nam it goes into NJ. Slowly moves east after but it’s elongated and loses it’s forcing capabilities. The 700 WF moving north and strong erly LLJ is what does all the damage for us.
  2. I just think temps will get borderline, and when the DGZ dries out, that’s when it will mix with rain. So I would lean lower near the coast. Also don’t forget about the 700 low west rule. It probably will move out just a little quicker than one thinks. I’m seeing models generate some good QPF below the DGZ so it might be a little biased too wet.
  3. That area near the NH coast into NE MA is the CF enhanced area. That may be a local Jack that we were talking about. Probably extends into middlesex county near 90/495.
  4. I wouldn't go by the 10:1 stuff. I'd be cautiously optimistic there as I think your longitude helps a bit and the WAA thump looks quite nice there. Back to snizzle and -SN Tuesday.
  5. The NAM siblings aren't toally in agreement. The NAM looked a little SE before meandering to the Cape, but 3K looks SE, Either way, tough call still.
  6. Probably should differentiate. I see you and Will in a good spot relative to getting the higher amounts. JMO. Maybe not jack, but in that zone of heavier snows. Nothing wrong with that.
  7. Well he is lol. You could argue he is close to perhaps a local jack with the CF enhancement for a time.
  8. I think you're in a good spot for a big snow event. I don't know man....if you miss out..maybe it's be a few inches? I'd sign up to be in Methuen if I could.
  9. Yep, PF just ripping the flesh off the giraffes trying to cross the Congo Basin.
  10. I don't think I've done all that much better. You smoked me last December, and in 2 of the March 18 events.
  11. I’ve found HREF too aggressive this far out, especially in borderline areas.
  12. I think that goes with the trend of H5 on the guidance, but didn't effect it much in SNE. I feel like there is still a lot to figure out with all these broad, dumb lows all over.
  13. I do sort of like the low a little more concise. Agree, lets get a shuffle..haha.
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