March '01 wasn't so bad as we had a decent ending. Dec 1992 was brutal...brutal...brutal. Especially as a small weenie when you were incessantly bombarded by your parents about how we don't get snow like we used to, bliz of '78..etc. I was about to get the big one. Blizzard warnings and 12-18"+ from all the outlets. I remember distinctly my mom saying this may be the biggest storm you've seen. Only to see it change back to rain, knowing it was pounding 5 miles away. I still have PTSD from that, and I know it's coming. It took days for me to shake off how pissed and upset I was. I thought I would never get to see the big one.
I was thinking back to '18-'19. Even though for here it was near normal in snowfall, every storm virtually over-achieved here. From the pre Thanksgiving storm, to the big March bomb...most did better than my initial thoughts for my area. Don't forget the ice on 12/23 and then the big snow to ice event just prior to MLK. That was sneaky ice well into SE MA.
We said after 1/15 is the best chance, like 2 weeks ago. That still is the case. Yeah it may be quiet next week, but can't see that two weeks out. The big picture is there, just need to have the details, which obviously we cannot see this far out.
The perception is the lack of cutters torching it and giving you those +20 days. Bud it’s just been steady AN with the lows seemingly driving it. But even here, upper 30s to near 40 during the day and lows in the 20s will give AN readings for sure during peak cold Climo.
Medium range is beyond 10 days though, which you cancelled. I agree it may be quiet until 20-21 or so, but I wouldn’t totally wouldn’t rule out something before then. Hell even nrn and western NE may see something this weekend.
Man lots of reports I’ve seen from Japan of massive sea-effect snow with 100mph winds on the western coast. Then you also have Shanghai in the deep freeze. Someone is getting it at least.