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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. His fear of subby is due to like arctic airmasses keeping the best forcing to his south. It's way too early too get cute with banding right now. My opinion is that overall I think he is in a decent spot. I'm thinking of the recent trends showing a better mid level look. It's way to early to talk about subby zones. We have no idea...hell the 12z HRRR tries to sleet here near 12z Thursday lol.
  2. I never said otherwise, or maybe I misunderstood. I don't mean a pure CJ..just a little contribution. Either way, that is low level stuff and nothing to do with any subby issues. You look good in the mid levels.
  3. He's gonna be fine. Congrats on the banding there.
  4. Also impressiver are the temps from like 800 on down. There is actually low level CAPE. Might be a decent OE signal too in typical spots. The cstl front is hellacious. Could be near 32 at BOS and 18 in BED for a time. Will collapse SE near dawn Thursday.
  5. There is definitely outage potential in SE cstl areas with 50kt winds and paste.
  6. 6Z EPS really similar to 00z. Maybe even a tad slower.
  7. We're all kidding. But I think speaking in absolute's about this storm is ballsy. There still is a lot up in the air.
  8. Pope carrying a giant wooden shovel down 95 and collapsing several times on his way to NYC?
  9. I buy the two part jack area. First may be W- NW CT into nrn MA and SNH..somewhere there. Another may be near stronger low level forcing in ern MA, interior SE MA. Just a guess...can detail it later.
  10. Yeah I saw. I'm happy where it is, otherwise it may get more slotty in SNE. Already a nice band signal into SNH.
  11. Euro really loves to meh on the off the runs lol. 6z back to more 18z look.
  12. EPS was rock solid again. Probably the most consistent model.
  13. That’s a crusher from PHilly to NYC verbatim. It did make steps to improve I thought, but yeah...s/w shredder as it moves overhead on the gfs. Hopefully it’s wrong.
  14. I saw that too. One nice thing we have, are cold temps in the conveyor belt. It may not pound after the heavy heavies leave, but decent temps still for snow flake production despite losing deep lift in the DGZ.
  15. It just screws around with the models. Sometimes they cause small pockets of lift and subsidence as they move along.
  16. Also there is a rapid pulse of strong 925mb winds. That's unusual.
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