You'll probably stay a more dry snow, especially if that deffy zone sneaks in which it looks too verbatim on the euro. This is what I mean though. H7-H6 will pivot that into CNE from a low SE of the benchmark. Yuuge circulation.
Nam actually showed MVY getting pummeled at the end of it's frame. I looked at the sounding and it has big lift in the DGZ there at hr 84. So yeah, dynamics will help when available.
It's possible a narrow area could. Plenty of time for that to be worked out, but for widespread 12+..I'm just not sure. I still would take anything at this point.