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RitualOfTheTrout

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Everything posted by RitualOfTheTrout

  1. RitualOfTheTrout
    There's a pretty robust band in SE OH, assuming it holds together that is probably a couple inches.
  2. RitualOfTheTrout
    Measured around 9.5 just now. Snow ratios definitely lower right now.
  3. RitualOfTheTrout
    The boards did exist then, though I can't recall if it was the old board EasternUSWeather then or not. That storm was what made the detour sign legendary. . It worked again for this one! You are right on the locals being way off. As I recall Dennis Bowman went 6-12 (I remember thinking he wanted to go higher but had pressure to not based on how he was talking about it) but the others all under played it.
  4. RitualOfTheTrout
    Measured about 7 a half hour ago. Still ripping heavy snow.
  5. RitualOfTheTrout
    Sleet has a higher reflectivity on radar, so when watching that in winter storm like this can sometimes hint were the mix is. My guess is as that moves NE it will lessen on radar but actually just mean its all snow
  6. RitualOfTheTrout
    Heavy snow and 11 degrees... Just insane. Didn't expect to have this much on the ground already.
  7. RitualOfTheTrout
    Well we made it, radar is starting to fill in! Think its safe to say: Before we start seeing obs posts, Ill echo what others have said, we have a good group, its been busier in this thread than its been for awhile and a blast watching this take shape!
  8. RitualOfTheTrout
    Surface temperature isn't the problem, but to your point if its to warm at the surface hopefully its to warm in the upper levels too. My gut says NAM is over doing the strength of the primary just a little.
  9. RitualOfTheTrout
    Ill take it!
  10. RitualOfTheTrout
    Depth of this cold is no doubt a variable we don't usually have on our side. It is not usual that places in the lowlands NW of the ridges do better either, that probably has more to do with track of the low.
  11. RitualOfTheTrout
    It is concerning for anyone south east of the city, and will probably reduce ratios just north of that. 3k NAM excels at sniffing out those warm layers more course models might smooth over. Its getting in range too so you can't dismiss it. That being said its probably still useful until at least 12z tomorrow combined with nowcast obs since the sleet threat isn't until tomorrow afternoon. By then the storm will be developed and any NAM over amp tendencies should not be a consideration.
  12. RitualOfTheTrout
    I do sorta feel like a kid before Christmas right now. I've been flying high for a couple days. Really enjoyable when things improve, then hold and you get the days of fun looking at models and all the storm hype in the community etc.
  13. RitualOfTheTrout
    This post seems to be ageing well. Given that, Ill stick to my original call for 16 imby.
  14. RitualOfTheTrout
    3k should be in its wheelhouse tomorrow to start sniffing any warm noses.
  15. RitualOfTheTrout
    That storm next weekend is a legit blizzard. Key for us, assuming its anywhere close to accurate is get that phase to happen much earlier.
  16. RitualOfTheTrout
    Keep em coming!
  17. RitualOfTheTrout
    Yeah, I hate when everything starts melting right after a storm. I mean Ill take a big dog no matter what, but if I could control the weather I'd have a hard time drawing it up much better than what mother nature is providing. Cold before and after the storm for the win with more snow chances too.
  18. RitualOfTheTrout
    NAM looks great for everyone! Hopefully we see the CMC and Euro lose it too.
  19. RitualOfTheTrout
    You talkin about the Pens or this storm?
  20. RitualOfTheTrout
    I'm curious to see how he does in the playoff under the pressure of Edmonton. I don't wish him ill, but his lack of consistency and focus is a killer.
  21. RitualOfTheTrout
    Your not wrong to bring it up. Its been showing on some models, even that sref run shows at least a lower ratio area.
  22. RitualOfTheTrout
    You said it, GFS looks good!
  23. RitualOfTheTrout
    Please.. Only slant stick measurements we want photos of is the snow in your yard.
  24. RitualOfTheTrout
    How many times has the NAM at range worked out when we needed what it showed? The 3K is good for short range, but there is a reason this thing is getting retired. Not that it't can't be onto something, but I wouldn't let it ruin your day. Let the GFS and Euro do that.
  25. RitualOfTheTrout
    Yeah, I mean we have a few paths, and they all look like they lead to a big snowfall for once. If something like that NAM happens, we probably get crushed with heavier snow and still push double digits, if more like the GFS, then we get a longer more prolonged event that should get us to at least 12+
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