RitualOfTheTrout

I'd be shocked if we don't get at leat 2 or 3 colder windows to snow before spring. Problem is without stable blocking any storm threat is even more highly dependant on interactions with other waves leading to more uncertainty than usual past day 4. All this to say I wouldn't get interested in any threat until its consistently shown 96-120 hours. I guess that holds true for a lot of setups, but moreso here in my opinion.

I agree with you here. If there ever was a good month to torch, it's March, at least after the first week to 10 days. Sure, if you are going to get some blockbuster snowstorm, I'm all for it, but a 2–4-inch snow in March is more of a nuisance than enjoyment vs if it happens in DJF.

I do view it on the whole rather than month by month, and we all want / enjoy things differently, combined with the fact even in a really good storm not all our yards get the same experience. To me that storm in Jan with a foot of snow, snow falling during the day, with temperatures in the low teens followed by 2 weeks of snowpack is pure perfection. I weight that much higher than some 4-6 event in late Feb or early March that melts 12 hours later. I also weight a colder and snowier December higher than if it happened in February. I think the other thing is the consistent cold, sure we had thaws, but we were tracking snow possibilities the entire season to this point which is rare. Put it this way, if next November I was given the option to have a repeat of this winter play out similarly over the course of December and January, or roll the dice and "hope" for something better it would be hard to pass up on that offer.

I know its highly subjective, but I'd give it an A. We had a little taste of everything, advisories, warnings, thundersnow, snow squalls, top 5 coldest stretch. If we manage to hit average snow Id say A+

Wow.. it feels good outside. Normally I'm depressed to see the snow melt, but after that stretch Ill allow it. Time to get into big dog hunting.

Those are the key words. It looks likely we see some sort of storm somewhere in the east. The pattern is in transition this week though, so that's going to add even more uncertainty. Depending on timing and track, there may be enough residual cold and blocking left for snow. After the 15th though, I think we probably see a "real" thaw and stack at least a couple days above average in a row.

I thought about it, but Tuesday with the melt / residual salt the road spray will just cover my car again anyways.

Helluva winter guys! What a blast its been, literally and figuratively!

This! The height was only 5 minutes, but legit heaviest snow of the season I witnessed! Couldn't see my neighbors house! That New Years Eve squall had lightening, so gotta give it a slight edge, but this one was pure insanity. Winds have completely filled in any evidence of foot prints in the yard.

Does loom a little weaker than it did, but still pretty robust. Some streamers setting up behind it too for a lucky few maybe.

Niiiice! This is at least the third event this winter with thunder snow somewhere in our area.

We got one warned heading this way, looks like its associated with the actual front.

Best rates of the day right now here. Real high ratio stuff coming down.

Yeah, we keep getting waves ahead of the front, we should make it to at least an inch + everywhere with this. Getting a moderate burst right now. Some hints of a band off huron too after the front.

Seeing there were a couple accidents on Rt 28 too. Probably only got a half inch, but I think sometimes less is worse because people don't take it as seriously.

Light / moderate here. Looks great! Covered most of the dirty snow on the side of the road already!

We've been looking at a 1-2 inch range, maybe 3 in an isolated spot to fall over like a 12 hour period. That still looks reasonable so not sure it's a "dud". Even if it ends up on the lower side of the range its still within the expectation. The more "steady" light snow wasn't forecast until late morning / early afternoon, then we see a lull until the cold front blows through. I do think we've seen a slight push for the better totals to the South and West over the past couple days, but these things have such a narrow area of "jackpot" totals its not surprising to see that move around.

I think we get one more cold relative to average shot. Obviously not like what's coming this weekend, but serviceable for late season snow chances. In any case, I noticed some melting, a few bare areas on steeper south facing slopes driving home. We are getting to the end of the reasonable expectation for snow retention anyways if its a sunny day. Looking forward to the clipper and wind this weekend.

I'm with ya on this. If it all ended tomorrow considering we got the big storm, stretch of deep cold and snowpack, thunder snow on new year's, squalls etc. this winter is already an A for me.

If models were a buffet... I'd take a side of GFS for this weekend, scoop of the UKMET for midweek, and for my main course I'll take the Euro for next weekend. Once the desert cart comes around for late feb / early march, I'll see what I want off of that.

With the winds it and fluffy nature of the snow, it's going to be blowing and drifting around too. I'll be curious to see if we get any squalls later Friday night.

If you loop through the runs, it looks like the GFS is progressively getting weaker and weaker for the Sunday thing. Couple that with it not showing on any other guidance and I think we know how this will go.

Clipper still looking solid for Friday. 1-3 inches if I had to guess now. Those wanting a warmup, looks like after this arctic hit this weekend things will moderate. Looks a bit more active too, but rain and storms cutting west will be back on the table.

Kidding.. sorta. Cold would be more fun if we had a couple light events. Had the kids do water balloons with food coloring and we set them out to freeze and then peel the balloons off to make abstract ice art. Running out of interesting things to do. Need another storm before we moderate next week.

Right now the Friday clipper has the best shot at a region wide impact. Crazy by then it will have been almost two weeks since our big storm and its been mainly dry since. The lakes freezing over has limited any benefit of the NW flow outside of a few dustings. Not high on the mid week thing, looks like more of an I70 south thing. Ill be curious to see how things look after next weekend. Some hints we might finally warm up closer to average at least temporarily.