As per usual, Wake and Mecklenburg Counties are your battlefields. Any forecaster who is bullish or bearish on either metro area is putting up a front.
GFS says nice knowing you, Wilmington and Jacksonville; and you'll love the new New Bern and Kinston.
It finally starts meandering SW towards N Myrtle at 72.
18z HWRF is a landfall at N Myrtle at hour 60. It pushes WSW into South Carolina from there.
18z HMON is a Wilmington landfall at 63, moving on to Charlotte.
GFS stalls the center over Lumberton and provides a nice cooling drizzle for the Piedmont and Coastal Plain.
Very interested to see the rainfall totals from Wilmington to RDU with this one.
Am I seeing this right? The GFS stalls it 100 miles offshore where it bombs out before looping around and making landfall south of Hatteras at 162 as a 918 mb incendiary device. OK then.
6z GFS says that, yes, you should evacuate your parents immediately. This poster agrees, thinking "better safe than sorry."
I wish we knew where to take them, though. Maybe DC.
It really is remarkable - the German model's Wake County snow hole looks just like a territorial map of Western Europe at the height of the Battle of the Bulge.